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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Tuesday, 02 August 11
INDONESIA BECOMES SECOND LARGEST COKING COAL EXPORTER
COALspot.com - Indonesia, the largest thermal coal exporter in the world now becomes second biggest coking coal exporter to Japan. Indonesian’ ...
Tuesday, 02 August 11
5TH ASIA PACIFIC COAL TRADING & INVESTMENT OUTLOOK TO PRESENT LATEST TRENDS
Press Release - Global commodities prices have been staying high since the beginning of 2011, resulting in the “TENSION” in various coun ...
Tuesday, 02 August 11
REALM RESOURCES TO ACQUIRE A 75% INTEREST IN THE KATINGAN RIA COAL PROJECT
COALspot.com - Scoping study at the Katingan Ria Coal Project, Central Kalimantan demonstrates positive technical and financial potential for the pr ...
Tuesday, 02 August 11
COAL INDIA TO INVEST IN GOLDEN ENERGY MINES
COALspot.com - Golden Energy Mines, part of PT Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk’s, is still negotiating with several strategic investors to o ...
Sunday, 31 July 11
CAPES ARE TRADING BELOW $ 9500 PER DAY - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The BDI further softened by 4.46 pct and closed at 1264 points which touched below 1300 points after long time. The Cape and Panamax ...
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- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Minerals Council of Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Australian Coal Association
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- The University of Queensland
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
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