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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Friday, 19 August 11
INDIA IMPORTS LESS INDONESIAN COAL THAN CHINA IN JULY
COALspot.com - Indonesia shipped 31.30 Million tons of coal in July 2011, up by 10.69 percent compared to June's export of about 28.27 ...
Thursday, 18 August 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED LOW GRADE COAL EXPORT BAN WILL NOT HAVE A SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON INDIA - MISWIN MAHESH
COALspot.com - The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by Jan ...
Thursday, 18 August 11
MARUBENI ACQUIRED 42.86% OF YTL JAWA POWER
COALspot.com - Marubeni Corporation (Marubeni) has completed the acquisition of 42.86 percent of the shares of YTL Jawa Power Holdings BV from YTL P ...
Wednesday, 17 August 11
CME LAUNCHES ARGUS COKING COAL SWAP FUTURES
COALspot.com - Argus media reported that, leading exchange CME Group will list an Australian coking coal swap futures contract for trading on the Ny ...
Wednesday, 17 August 11
TAVESCO KILLARA ENERGY TO ACQUIRE COAL CONCESSIONS IN EAST KALIMANTAN
COALspot.com - Killara Resources Limited, an Australian listed company has formed PT Tavesco Killara Energy (TKE), a joint company with PT Tavesco I ...
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- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Planning Commission, India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- PTC India Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
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