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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Wednesday, 12 October 11
INDONESIAS COAL RUSH - JOSEPH KIRSCHKE
COALspot.com - Last winter, the Chinese government mobilized thousands of soldiers and reservists of the People’s Liberation Army to the port ...
Wednesday, 12 October 11
CAPESIZE - A SURPRISE JUMP IN RATES - BRS
There was a surge across all sizes last week, resulting in the BDI gaining 101 points to end the week at 2,000 points (+5.3%). The BCI reached 3,218 ...
Wednesday, 12 October 11
CAPESIZE FREIGHT RATES BOUND TO RETREAT FROM 2011 HIGHS ON THE BACK OF TONNAGE OVERSUPPLY SAYS BIMCO
According to Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping, with the BDI (Baltic Dry Index) breaking yet another 2011 high yesterday and ending the se ...
Tuesday, 11 October 11
GLENCORE, SUITOR FOR BUMI PLC? - INSIDER STORIES
Insider Stories reported that, the largest commodities trader in the world, Glencore International Plc, is considering an opportunity to acquire a m ...
Tuesday, 11 October 11
RENUKA COALINDO BUYS JAMBI COAL
PT Renuka Coalindo Tbk, formerly PT Allbond Makmur Usaha Tbk plans to acquire PT Jambi Prima Coal holder of mining concession in Pauh, Sa ...
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- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Planning Commission, India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- MS Steel International - UAE
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Australian Coal Association
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- The University of Queensland
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
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