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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Friday, 28 October 11
RISING COAL PRICES TO WORSEN CHINA'S WINTER POWER CRUNCH - CRI ENGLISH
CRI English reported that, the rising price of coal is fueling concerns about a power crunch set to plague China this winter, analysts said.
The ...
Thursday, 27 October 11
CAPESIZE REACHING NEW HIGHS - FEARNLEYS
Handy
Pacific market has mixed sentiments with tonnages fixed at firm levels and some tonnages in feast failing on subs.For indo-india, large eco ...
Thursday, 27 October 11
DRY BULK MARKET EDGES DOWN AS CHINAS IRON ORE DEMAND LOSES GROUND - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
A plunge in Chinese iron ore demand, as a result of high steel inventories and a bleak outlook regarding steel prices, has prompted the dry bulk mar ...
Thursday, 27 October 11
BUKIT ASAM 3Q PROFIT SURGES 66.91%
Insider Stories reported that, the state-controlled coal miner PT Bukit Asam Tbk (PTBA) experienced a 66.91% increase in its net profit during a per ...
Wednesday, 26 October 11
MOODYS SEES MORE GROWTH FOR INDONESIAN COAL MINERS - THE JAKARTA GLOBE
The Jakarta Globe reported that, Indonesia’s coal mining industry looks set to grow despite an uncertain global economic outlook, according to ...
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- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- White Energy Company Limited
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
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