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Friday, 02 September 11
CAPESIZE DEMAND LIFTS DRY BULK MARKET ONCE AGAIN - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING


In what proves to be the best week of the year for Capesize owners, strong demand has helped propel the dry bulk market to new highs yesterday. The BDI (Baltic Dry Index) was up by 3.89% to 1,682 points, with Capesizes boosting the market again. Yesterday, the Baltic Capesize Index was up by 8.04% and more than 25% since the beginning of the week, to 2,807 points. By contrast, all other ship types and segments were down, with Panamaxes losing 0.25% to 1,624 points (Baltic Panamax Index).

Meanwhile, in the ever so increasingly important for a further recovery of freight rates demolition market, shipbroker Golden Destiny noted that “the uncertainty of global financial markets has a direct impact on the shiprecycling industry. Since the U.S. economy downgrade the volume of activity and scrap prices have eased off significantly with scrap buyers remaining skeptical to commit to new units unless they see the new direction in prices. Scrap prices have fallen by around $30/ldt for the last month in the Indian subcontinent region and owners are struggling to beach their vessels at levels excess $500/ldt. India is now paying less than $500/ldt for dry/general cargo and about $520/ldt for wet cargo. The Ramadan period does not alleviate the current status and there are hopes for a rebound from the end of August.

In Bangladesh, the threat of closure remains, even the official extension of the market till early October, and some owners put off their decision for beaching their vessels in Chittagong. In China, scrap prices have not slipped below $450/ldt and now the price gap with the Indian subcontinent region has narrowed with hopes for more intense activity in the future.

The week ended with 18 vessels reported to have been headed to the scrap yards of total deadweight 740,996 tons. In terms of the reported number of transactions, the demolition activity has been marked with a remarkable 157% rise from previous week’s activity, while there has been a 281% increase of the total deadweight sent for scrap. In terms of scrap rates, the highest scrap rate has been achieved this week for a handysize vessel M/V “EMI S” of 34,913dwt built 1983 with 7,830tons of lightweight at $525/ldt in Bangladesh. Bulk carriers are the most popular scrap candidates recording a 400% weekly increase of scrapping activity. At a similar week in 2010, demolition activity was standing at similar levels, in terms of the reported number of transactions, 18 vessels had been reported for scrap of total deadweight 356,048 tons with tankers, reefers and Ro-Ro carriers being on the frontline comparable with nowadays concentrated interest in the bulk carrier segment . India was offering the best levels by paying $400/ldt for dry/general cargo and $435/ldt for wet cargo” concluded the Piraeus-based shipbroker.

In terms of the second hand market, it has already experienced signs of of significant falls especially for larger size vessels, in the bulk carrier and tanker segment, but it is too early to determine the new benchmark values unless the new transactions are confirmed and others at similar levels follow said the report. “The last week’s rumor for a capesize Imabari resale of 180,000dwt built 2011 to be under negotiations at region mid $40 mil was not finalized as sellers did not lift the subjects. The owner seemed not willing to accept the low sale price since the vessel is said to have been ordered at much higher levels. The week closed again with silent secondhand ship purchasing activity in the bulk carrier segment and stronger buying activity for smaller tankers.

Overall, 18 vessels reported to have changed hands this week at a total invested capital in the region of US$ 139 million, 9 transactions reported at an undisclosed sale price. In terms of the reported number of transactions, the S&P activity is up by 157% from last week’s activity, mainly due to a sharp rise in the tanker buying momentum and up by 63% comparable with previous year’s weekly S&P activity when 11 vessels induced buyers’ interest with tankers and bulk carriers grasping 63% share of the total volume of S&P activity. In terms of invested capital, the tanker segment seems to be the most overweight due to the large volume of transactions concluded. Notable deal of the week in the tanker segment for an aframax auction vessel sale of 115,583dwt built 2005 Japan at region $34,8 million” concluded Golden Destiny.

In terms of the presence from Hellenic ship owners, they appear to be active with a movement reported in the capesize segment for a vessel of 168,968dwt built 1998 South Korea at region $19 mil. In the newbuilding market, Greek owners have still plans for the placement of new units. In the previous week, Transmed is said to have signed a letter of intent (LOI) with STX Offshore Shipbuilding for five MR units plus option for five more at an undisclosed contract price with delivery late 2013. In the LNG segment, Gaslog is said to have extended its order placed earlier in the year by two more LNG 155,000cbm units at Samsung Heavy Industries for delivery in 2013. In addition, in the bulk carrier segment Chartword is said to be in discussions with Chinese yard Shanghai Waigaoqiao Shipbuilding for a bargain deal of two kamsarmax units with option for four more at a price less than $30 mil. According to newbuilding sources the deal is at dangerously low levels with the yard hardly making any profit on the deal.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping



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