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Friday, 05 August 11
DRY BULK MARKET FINALLY TAKES A BREATHER - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING


The dry bulk market at last caught a break mid-week after a constant fall which saw the industry’s benchmark, the BDI (Baltic Dry Index) falling to more than a three-month low. Yesterday, the index posted its second straight rise, ending at 1,268 points, up by 0.63% on the back of firming up signs in the capesize market. The Capesize Index was up by 1.80% to 1,807 points, while the Panamax markets remained subdued to 1,475 points, down by 0.41% on the day.

Commenting on the Panamax market, shipbroker Fearnley’s stated that “summer silence continue with limted cargo flow and softening levels. Atlantic somewhat, especially north, is firmer than pacific. Levels hovering arnd 14k. Some cargoes even stay unfixed due to owners not accepting charterers ideas. Limited period activtity and owners like to hold back doing short employment and wait for better levels. In the pacific rounds being closed just above 8000,- and more and more vessels ballast dir ecsa. Backhaul´ s now at weak 3600/3700 and hopefully it find some resistance now preventing further drop. Expectation´s for next 1-2 weeks is still slow activity but if rates move up or down reamins to be seen” the report said.

On the Capesize front, it mentioned that “after a quiet week and with rates dropping day by day, we finally see more activity. at the time of writing Rio Tinto taken ships in the range usd 7,85 to usd 8 pmt for west australia / china and there is clearly more support in the pacific. The other majors have been active elyer this week, but are now absent. for the front haul marked, charters have been aiming usd 19 - 19,10 rnge throughout the week, with owners at mid 19s and encouragement to do slightly less. In spite of a couple of fixtures, activity has remained week. The same goes for TARV activity, where there is few cargoes. Short period is more or less non excisting after the hype last week” the shipbroker said.

In a separate report, shipbroker Shiptrade Services said on the supramax market that it was a week with mixed feelings at both basins. “In the Atlantic region, the Continent/Mediterranean market was quiet with supras’ reported fixed around USD 4.000 per day for cargoes to USG, while scrap stems ex Continent to Mediterranean sea were done at USD mid teens. Rates for Transatlantic round remained around USD 14-15.000 per day. Fixtures for trips to Far East reported USD high teens - 20.000per day, for GOA traders ex Mediterranean. On the ECSA/F.East market fixtures reported at levels around USD 20.000 – low twenties per day basis W.Africa delivery. In the pacific market increased, with Indonesia being the driving force. Rates for Pacific round held at levels USD 9.000-10.000per day, while trips ex Nopac were performed around USD 10.000 per day basis N.China delivery (M/V Cos Orchid 55.539/06’)” said Shiptrade in its report.

On the Handysize segment, the general trend was also downward. “Rates drifted further down. “In the Atlantic region the Continent/Mediterranean/Black Sea remains flat, with not many cargoes moving eventhough we could see some coal stems to Mediterranean Sea and some grain cargoes from the Black sea. On the ECSA market grain are still available but sugar parcels are scarce. In the Pacific there was still a constant flow of coal to China, clinker to destination Bangladesh is always there, and a few steel parcels” said the report.

Meanwhile, attention should be brought on the impact of Typhoon Muifa which is likely to hit Eastern China. In a notice issued yesterday from Commodore Research & Consultancy, it mentioned that “Typhoon Muifa has continued to gain strength and remains likely to make landfall near Shanghai. As of now, the typhoon is expected to make landfall south of Shanghai, near the ports of Zhoushan and Taizhou, late Saturday night. If Typhoon Muifa ends up making landfall close to a port, port damage could occur. Coastal trade is also very likely to be affected at several ports including Wenzhou, Taizhou, Zhoushan, and Shanghai. We will continue to monitor the storm very closely and will be publishing additional updates” said Commodore.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping



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