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Monday, 11 July 11
REFLECTIONS ON THE FLEET REACHING ONE BILLION TONNES - CLARKSONS / HELLENIC SHIPPING
“A billion gross tonnes of shipping” has a nice ring to it. It presents the industry as a business of substance, with its 85,000 ships worth almost $1 trillion. So the news that on 1st July 2011 the world merchant fleet passed this important milestone deserves a little reflection on where we have come from and where we are going.
55 Years of Change
The last anniversary of this sort was in 1955 when the fleet reached 100 million gross tons. But today’s fleet is very different. Of course it has grown tenfold, averaging 4.2% per year, but back in 1955 shipping was also very different. Liners and tramps dominated cargo and the premium cargo was people. Fifty six years and 100,000+ investment decisions later everything has changed. Air liners replaced passenger liners; containerships replaced cargo liners and bulkers replaced tramps. Only tankers survived and they are much bigger.
Investment Roller-Coaster
Although this sounds like neat strategic development, for shipping investors it was a nightmare because the growth path was unbelievably volatile. Business started with a surge of growth - between 1955 and 1975 the growth rate accelerated from 4% to 10.2% as investors queued up to order super-tankers and bulkers, funded by the emerging Eurodollar market. That phase peaked in 1975 and by 1985 growth had slumped to -1%. Then it all started again, with growth surging to 8+% in 2010. Part of this volatility was caused by fluctuations in trade growth which was very fast (8%pa) in the run up to the 1975 peak, then grew by just 1% pa in the 1980s and by around 3% since then. But fleet growth was supercharged by investor’s enthusiasm for playing the market using easy Eurodollar finance.
Productivity Puzzle
One surprising lesson from all this is that, despite the chaotic boom and bust environment, the industry was very successful in delivering the new technology which the globalising world economy needed - a state-of-the-art fleet of tankers, bulk carriers and containerships, all carefully graduated in size to meet the complex needs of the modern trading world for cheap sea transport. Another surprise is that the fleet’s transport “productivity” did not increase very much. In 1955 100m GT transported 820mt of cargo, about 8.2t per GT. Today 1 billion GT delivers around 8.4bn tons of cargo, an average of 8.4t per GT.
A Job Well Done
So there you have it. Shipping cycles are about getting the right ships for the trade, at the cheapest freight rates. After 100,000 angst ridden investment decisions shipping investors have really delivered the goods - a billion tons of ships, tailored to the complex needs of the modern global economy, and super low freight rates. On which note, an extra pat on the back to Capesize owners who are doing such a splendid job today, regardless of cost.
Have a nice day.
Source: Clarksons / Hellenic Shipping
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Sunday, 03 July 11
INDONESIAN GOVERNMENT HAS CLEARED 1509 COAL IUP'S AS CLEAR AND CLEAN
COALspot.com - The Directorate general of mineral & coal of Indonesia has cleared around 1,509 IUP holders (coal mining companies) as "clea ...
Sunday, 03 July 11
MONSOON IN INDIA PUSHED FREIGHTS UP FROM INDONESIA TO WC INDIA - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The BDI continued to hold closing just 2 points below last week at 1,422 points which was supported by Cape index which was up by 71 ...
Friday, 01 July 11
BEN LINE OPENS A NEW OFFICE IN BERAU
COALspot.com - Ben Line Agencies has announced that it has opened a new office in the busy coal loading port of Berau in East Kalimantan increasing ...
Friday, 01 July 11
CAPESIZE RATES TO REMAIN DEPRESSED IN COMING MONTHS SAYS SHIPPING ORGANIZATION - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
In a recent report, BIMCO reassessed that Capesize freight rates will remain in depressed territory in the coming months. Capesize Time Charter Aver ...
Thursday, 30 June 11
DRY BULK MARKET SHOWS SIGNS OF FURTHER WEAKENING - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market seems to be unable to shake off the additional supply of vessels, an oversupply issue of grave concern that would have occured e ...
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- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Planning Commission, India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Australian Coal Association
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
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