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Monday, 11 July 11
REFLECTIONS ON THE FLEET REACHING ONE BILLION TONNES - CLARKSONS / HELLENIC SHIPPING
“A billion gross tonnes of shipping” has a nice ring to it. It presents the industry as a business of substance, with its 85,000 ships worth almost $1 trillion. So the news that on 1st July 2011 the world merchant fleet passed this important milestone deserves a little reflection on where we have come from and where we are going.
55 Years of Change
The last anniversary of this sort was in 1955 when the fleet reached 100 million gross tons. But today’s fleet is very different. Of course it has grown tenfold, averaging 4.2% per year, but back in 1955 shipping was also very different. Liners and tramps dominated cargo and the premium cargo was people. Fifty six years and 100,000+ investment decisions later everything has changed. Air liners replaced passenger liners; containerships replaced cargo liners and bulkers replaced tramps. Only tankers survived and they are much bigger.
Investment Roller-Coaster
Although this sounds like neat strategic development, for shipping investors it was a nightmare because the growth path was unbelievably volatile. Business started with a surge of growth - between 1955 and 1975 the growth rate accelerated from 4% to 10.2% as investors queued up to order super-tankers and bulkers, funded by the emerging Eurodollar market. That phase peaked in 1975 and by 1985 growth had slumped to -1%. Then it all started again, with growth surging to 8+% in 2010. Part of this volatility was caused by fluctuations in trade growth which was very fast (8%pa) in the run up to the 1975 peak, then grew by just 1% pa in the 1980s and by around 3% since then. But fleet growth was supercharged by investor’s enthusiasm for playing the market using easy Eurodollar finance.
Productivity Puzzle
One surprising lesson from all this is that, despite the chaotic boom and bust environment, the industry was very successful in delivering the new technology which the globalising world economy needed - a state-of-the-art fleet of tankers, bulk carriers and containerships, all carefully graduated in size to meet the complex needs of the modern trading world for cheap sea transport. Another surprise is that the fleet’s transport “productivity” did not increase very much. In 1955 100m GT transported 820mt of cargo, about 8.2t per GT. Today 1 billion GT delivers around 8.4bn tons of cargo, an average of 8.4t per GT.
A Job Well Done
So there you have it. Shipping cycles are about getting the right ships for the trade, at the cheapest freight rates. After 100,000 angst ridden investment decisions shipping investors have really delivered the goods - a billion tons of ships, tailored to the complex needs of the modern global economy, and super low freight rates. On which note, an extra pat on the back to Capesize owners who are doing such a splendid job today, regardless of cost.
Have a nice day.
Source: Clarksons / Hellenic Shipping
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Monday, 15 August 11
INDIAS MALABAR CEMENTS SEEK TO IMPORT 40,000 TONS OF COAL
COALspot.com - Malabar Cements Ltd., India's Keralaa government owned cement factory is seeking to import 40K metric tons of non-coking coal throug ...
Sunday, 14 August 11
SUPRAMAX CHARTER RATES SHARPLY UP - CAPT.REDDY
COALspot.com - The BDI ended positive with gains in Cape and Panamax index. The BDI was up by 1.50 pct and the cape and panamax index was up by almo ...
Saturday, 13 August 11
GMR HAS ENTERED INTO CSPA WITH GEMS TO ACQUIRE 30% STAKE
COALspot.com - GMR Infrastructure Investments (Singapore) Pte Ltd, a subsidiary of GMR Infrastructure, has signed conditional sale and purchase agre ...
Friday, 12 August 11
COAL MINERS WILL ALLOW TO CONSTRUCT MINE MOUTH POWER PLANT
COALspot.com - The government is set to draft a regulation to enable construction of steam-fired power plants (PLTU) by coal mining companies for th ...
Friday, 12 August 11
CAPESIZE DEMAND HELPS LIFTING OF DRY BULK MARKET - HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market has recovered a small fraction of its lost ground this week, with higher returns as a result of increased capesize demand. This ...
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- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- The University of Queensland
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Planning Commission, India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Australian Coal Association
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
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