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Friday, 11 March 11
THE HANDY MARKET IS QUITE VOLATILE


Handy
Lacklustre week as the USG is the only bright light with high volumes of petcoke/coal into the Med (paying mid 20´s bss aps USG). Little short period done as the Cont and BSea remained ´quiet´ with little activity. The market is quite volatile as high bunker prices have an impact on rates too.The market is very positional and tonnage willing Aden/Feast are getting interesting premiums. Mkt currently steady in Pac and getting quiet as chrtrs holding on in view of increased rates. Supras in north China are aiming close to 17k for trips via Indo to India with coal however chrtrs paying or holding at mid teens. Iron ore from India has been quiet Supras on WCI close to 18k for trips to China and from ECI close to 16k. On Richards Bay rounds supras now seeing around  17kbasis WCI dely. Red Sea, ferts on handymax/ supras are fixed at very mid-high 20´s pmt on voy bss to WC India. Not much seen on short period as rates are seen rising and now around usd 17,000.

Panamax
After a slow last week the Panamax market took a clear turn this week. Fresh grain cargoes out of ECSA appeared and owners starting to ballast their vsls from Pacific in the same direction. Typical rates to secure ECSA grain business around 19,000/Day. Moreover, a more active period market with operators booking short period tonnage to cover grain business at levels rising from mid 17 towards the 19,000 mark. Atlantic still  fine balanced and Continent tight for prompt tonnage with TA rounds fixed at 16-18k. The Pacific spot market not as enthusiastic. However, owners able to secure levels around the healthy mid teens. Propelled  by the fresh grain orders,more active short period market and a slightly positive forward curve, nervousness turned into a growing positive sentiment. As the cape market also show signs of a recovery owners are raising their levels for longer periods. Takers are still reluctant though.

Capesize
Both actual and nominal levels rising throughout the week, assisted by improving paper values and ever-increasing bunker prices. Considering the market remains massively overtonnaged, however, this appears more of a "dead cat bouncing"  situation than the start of a fundamental recovery. Atlantic stands out as the most active/promising area, with genuine end-users to a large extent making up spot demand. Average tc-levels are up some 65% to come in at around usd 8k - which at least makes it worthwile to sail instead of drifting. Period fixing is limited to a handful of key players levels varying considerably from usd 10k done on 16,4000 dwt/blt 1996 delivery China prompt for 4-6 months, to 180kdwt/blt 2010 fixing 4-6 months at usd 15k also basis delivery china prompt - the latter interestingly almost on par with 12 months concluded on 177kdwt/blt  2004 delivering end march for major miners.
Source: FEARNBULK



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