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Monday, 07 February 11
COAL PRICES ON RISE: DEMAND FROM INDIA AND CHINA - ANALYZED SUNIL K KUMBHAT
INDONESIA IS HEART OF ASIAN COAL BOOM
COALspot.com - Rising demand of Coal from India and China, coupled with global financial recovery, is driving thermal coal prices that have appreciated in the recent past few months and it is expected that the global prices of Coal shall remain firm and go up further.
Power generation is what is driving the demand of Coal in India and China . In India new coal-fired power plants, ranging in the size from 50 MW to 4,000 MW, are being built throughout India. Power plants are symbol of how rapidly India's economy is expanding.
Similarly China, shall remain a net importer of thermal coal for coming few years as it's economy is growing at firm speed and is expected to deliver mind-boggling growth in 2011. China's coal imports more than doubled to 150 million tonnes from the previous year. Closure of smaller mines, coupled with increased demand from power sector, has triggered China's demand for imported coal.
India has also emerged as one of the major importer of coal. The imports are likely to be around 100-150 million tonnes for the current year as it adds new thermal capacities. India imports about three-fourths of its coal requirement from Indonesia, while South Africa and Australia accounts for the rest.
The quality of Indonesian coal is much better than Indian coal. The gross calorific value of Indonesian coal ranges between 5,000 and 6,500 kilo calories per kilogram (kcl/kg); while for Indian coal it is only 3,000-4,500 kcl/kg- with high ash contents. Bulk of the imported coal in India is used by power companies, which use it to blend with the local coal to improve calorific value. The coal prices also depend upon the ash content and the calorific value .Indonesia’s strategic geographic location makes it the most preferred country for Indian companies for its proximity to the country, which means lower ocean freight charges and better timing compared to other countries such as Australia.
Indonesia's coal Industry has transformed itself from being an minor player in Asia's Coal market to the world's largest Exporter of Steam Coal .Indonesia has come from nowhere to challenge Australia as the world’s largest exporter of thermal coal and is expected soon to topple Australia as the largest coal exporter.
The higher energy demand in India would drive up import of coal .The overall energy generated in India could double within a decade.
Indian power sector will be heavily depend on coal for decades to come. At the same time, India's steel industry, also dependent on coal, is expected to treble its output within a decade.
But there is growing concern about where all the coal is going to come from. India has significant coal reserves suitable for power generation and boasts the world's biggest coal company - the government-owned Coal India Limited. But the expansion of the Indian economy has been so rapid, demand is outstripping domestic supply.
The government wants the economy to expand at 9-10 per cent a year to help lift millions of poor families out of poverty. But an energy supply crunch could compromise that growth target.
India has theoretically significant reserves but it will take a long time to get into actual production, There is a urgent need to re-examine the regulations and policies associated with exploration, exploitation and production. India is still not fully encouraging commercial coal mining by the private sector.
India's coal reserves are concentrated in the eastern states of Orissa, Jharkhand, Chhattisgarh, West Bengal and Madhya Pradesh, where basic logistics infrastructure (such as ports and railways) is lacking. Various government regulation concerning forestry and environmental restrictions are also hindering mine development. Unless such bottlenecks are addressed, growth in domestic coal production could be difficult.'
Due to government regulatory delays, infrastructure bottlenecks and security risks are encouraging Indian firms to look overseas to secure coal supply especially in Indonesia, South Africa, Mozambique, Australia etc. for their ambitious power projects in India.
Indonesia's thermal coal mines have a comparative advantage over Australia's because they are nearer to India but Australia's reputation as a reliable supplier is attractive to Indian buyers.’ Australian mines might be more expensive but they are reliable. Australia’s advantages are that the coal is good and the infrastructure is good'
In spit of all , Australia will face stiff competition from Indonesia - which has lower transport costs. A significant proportion of coal transport in Indonesia is water based, which allows for coal to be transported along rivers via barges to the open sea for loading onto larger vessels. Indonesia’s coal suppliers rely heavily on floating transhipment facilities due to economic reasons.
Indonesia's coal Industry has transformed itself from being an minor player in Asia's Coal market to the world's largest Exporter of Steam Coal .Indonesia has come from nowhere to challenge Australia as the world’s largest exporter of thermal coal and is expected soon to topple Australia as the largest coal exporter.
Indonesia’s government needs to accelerate reforms for foreign direct investment (FDI) in mining and energy sector to give direct control to foreign investors, in order to win confidence and attract/invite major international companies into Indonesia. There is need of more coordination between Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources Deptt , Indonesian Investment Co-ordination Board (BKPM) ,and Various Regional administrations.
The phenomenal growth in Indonesia’s coal exports in last five years reflects the ability of its coal industry to respond to the rapid growth in Asian demand for thermal coal.
Indonesia has huge coal reserves and exporting coal to many countries for use in power plants for generating energy but it is paradoxical that Indonesia is short of energy. Many Indian companies (Tata , Reliance,Jindal ,L&T, Monnet, Adani ,Essar etc) are capable of sharing power technology and setting up mega power plants in Indonesia
Indonesian private companies can buy equity stakes in Indian power plants in exchange / barter for long-term coal supply. Since India is today one of the fastest growing economies and also has a shortage of power supply then such deals can be beneficial to both parties .Indonesian government or Indonesian companies can invite Coal barter bids (CBB) ,where from foreign companies for development of ports , Roads , Railway lines , Power Plants etc. In Coal barter bids , coal will be supplied to party who will set up Power plants or develop infrastructure etc. Coal mining in Indonesia can be an extremely lucrative sector for overall economic growth. Indonesian government should make single window clearance system to operate business in Indonesia to encourage foreign enterprises and Investment for Coal barter bids. Indonesian Coal companies are fully aware that India is a market into which they can export or thru barter transactions, its major share of Coal Production.
Today Indonesia has stable economic outlook and if reform efforts towards basic infrastructures continues it may become Economic Tiger of Asia by 2020.
Today Indonesia is the heart of the Asian Coal boom.
Analyst - Sunil K Kumbhat , Jodhpur (Rajasthan), India
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Thursday, 09 November 23
GREEK AND CHINESE COMPANIES OWN 34% OF THE GLOBAL FLEET’S CARGO CAPACITY - BIMCO
“The global fleet of cargo carrying ships consists of around 61,000 ships with a deadweight capacity of about 2,200 million tonnes. The ships ...
Monday, 23 October 23
CHINA SEPT COAL OUTPUT HITS SIX-MONTH HIGH ON RISING POWER DEMAND - REUTERS
China’s September coal output rose 0.4% from August to the highest level since March, official data showed on Wednesday, on rising power dema ...
Monday, 23 October 23
INDIA COAL INVENTORIES DROP AT FASTEST PACE IN TWO YEARS, BOOSTING IMPORTS - REUTERS
Coal inventories at Indian power plants in the first half of October fell at their fastest rate in two years, an analysis of government data showed ...
Tuesday, 19 September 23
LNG SHIPPING STOCKS: THE ASIAN GROWTH UP-INDICES
Last week, the UP World LNG Shipping Index (UPI) gained 3.81 points or 2.51%, closing at 155.85 points. This index tracks the performance of LNG sh ...
Sunday, 10 September 23
GOLDMAN SACHS PREDICTS OIL PRICE TO HIT $100 ON OPEC CUTS - YAHOO FINANCE
Oil supply cuts by Saudi Arabia and Russia could lead to Brent crude jumping as high as $107 a barrel in 2024, Goldman Sachs Commodities Research h ...
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- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Australian Coal Association
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Planning Commission, India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- The University of Queensland
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
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