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Monday, 07 February 11
COAL PRICES ON RISE: DEMAND FROM INDIA AND CHINA - ANALYZED SUNIL K KUMBHAT
INDONESIA IS HEART OF ASIAN COAL BOOM
COALspot.com - Rising demand of Coal from India and China, coupled with global financial recovery, is driving thermal coal prices that have appreciated in the recent past few months and it is expected that the global prices of Coal shall remain firm and go up further.
Power generation is what is driving the demand of Coal in India and China . In India new coal-fired power plants, ranging in the size from 50 MW to 4,000 MW, are being built throughout India. Power plants are symbol of how rapidly India's economy is expanding.
Similarly China, shall remain a net importer of thermal coal for coming few years as it's economy is growing at firm speed and is expected to deliver mind-boggling growth in 2011. China's coal imports more than doubled to 150 million tonnes from the previous year. Closure of smaller mines, coupled with increased demand from power sector, has triggered China's demand for imported coal.
India has also emerged as one of the major importer of coal. The imports are likely to be around 100-150 million tonnes for the current year as it adds new thermal capacities. India imports about three-fourths of its coal requirement from Indonesia, while South Africa and Australia accounts for the rest.
The quality of Indonesian coal is much better than Indian coal. The gross calorific value of Indonesian coal ranges between 5,000 and 6,500 kilo calories per kilogram (kcl/kg); while for Indian coal it is only 3,000-4,500 kcl/kg- with high ash contents. Bulk of the imported coal in India is used by power companies, which use it to blend with the local coal to improve calorific value. The coal prices also depend upon the ash content and the calorific value .Indonesia’s strategic geographic location makes it the most preferred country for Indian companies for its proximity to the country, which means lower ocean freight charges and better timing compared to other countries such as Australia.
Indonesia's coal Industry has transformed itself from being an minor player in Asia's Coal market to the world's largest Exporter of Steam Coal .Indonesia has come from nowhere to challenge Australia as the world’s largest exporter of thermal coal and is expected soon to topple Australia as the largest coal exporter.
The higher energy demand in India would drive up import of coal .The overall energy generated in India could double within a decade.
Indian power sector will be heavily depend on coal for decades to come. At the same time, India's steel industry, also dependent on coal, is expected to treble its output within a decade.
But there is growing concern about where all the coal is going to come from. India has significant coal reserves suitable for power generation and boasts the world's biggest coal company - the government-owned Coal India Limited. But the expansion of the Indian economy has been so rapid, demand is outstripping domestic supply.
The government wants the economy to expand at 9-10 per cent a year to help lift millions of poor families out of poverty. But an energy supply crunch could compromise that growth target.
India has theoretically significant reserves but it will take a long time to get into actual production, There is a urgent need to re-examine the regulations and policies associated with exploration, exploitation and production. India is still not fully encouraging commercial coal mining by the private sector.
India's coal reserves are concentrated in the eastern states of Orissa, Jharkhand, Chhattisgarh, West Bengal and Madhya Pradesh, where basic logistics infrastructure (such as ports and railways) is lacking. Various government regulation concerning forestry and environmental restrictions are also hindering mine development. Unless such bottlenecks are addressed, growth in domestic coal production could be difficult.'
Due to government regulatory delays, infrastructure bottlenecks and security risks are encouraging Indian firms to look overseas to secure coal supply especially in Indonesia, South Africa, Mozambique, Australia etc. for their ambitious power projects in India.
Indonesia's thermal coal mines have a comparative advantage over Australia's because they are nearer to India but Australia's reputation as a reliable supplier is attractive to Indian buyers.’ Australian mines might be more expensive but they are reliable. Australia’s advantages are that the coal is good and the infrastructure is good'
In spit of all , Australia will face stiff competition from Indonesia - which has lower transport costs. A significant proportion of coal transport in Indonesia is water based, which allows for coal to be transported along rivers via barges to the open sea for loading onto larger vessels. Indonesia’s coal suppliers rely heavily on floating transhipment facilities due to economic reasons.
Indonesia's coal Industry has transformed itself from being an minor player in Asia's Coal market to the world's largest Exporter of Steam Coal .Indonesia has come from nowhere to challenge Australia as the world’s largest exporter of thermal coal and is expected soon to topple Australia as the largest coal exporter.
Indonesia’s government needs to accelerate reforms for foreign direct investment (FDI) in mining and energy sector to give direct control to foreign investors, in order to win confidence and attract/invite major international companies into Indonesia. There is need of more coordination between Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources Deptt , Indonesian Investment Co-ordination Board (BKPM) ,and Various Regional administrations.
The phenomenal growth in Indonesia’s coal exports in last five years reflects the ability of its coal industry to respond to the rapid growth in Asian demand for thermal coal.
Indonesia has huge coal reserves and exporting coal to many countries for use in power plants for generating energy but it is paradoxical that Indonesia is short of energy. Many Indian companies (Tata , Reliance,Jindal ,L&T, Monnet, Adani ,Essar etc) are capable of sharing power technology and setting up mega power plants in Indonesia
Indonesian private companies can buy equity stakes in Indian power plants in exchange / barter for long-term coal supply. Since India is today one of the fastest growing economies and also has a shortage of power supply then such deals can be beneficial to both parties .Indonesian government or Indonesian companies can invite Coal barter bids (CBB) ,where from foreign companies for development of ports , Roads , Railway lines , Power Plants etc. In Coal barter bids , coal will be supplied to party who will set up Power plants or develop infrastructure etc. Coal mining in Indonesia can be an extremely lucrative sector for overall economic growth. Indonesian government should make single window clearance system to operate business in Indonesia to encourage foreign enterprises and Investment for Coal barter bids. Indonesian Coal companies are fully aware that India is a market into which they can export or thru barter transactions, its major share of Coal Production.
Today Indonesia has stable economic outlook and if reform efforts towards basic infrastructures continues it may become Economic Tiger of Asia by 2020.
Today Indonesia is the heart of the Asian Coal boom.
Analyst - Sunil K Kumbhat , Jodhpur (Rajasthan), India
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Tuesday, 08 February 11
PUSTAKA JAYA PALU POWER LOOKING FOR 5800 GAD COAL
COALspot.com - According to market information, PT Pustaka Jaya Palu Power, a power plant operator of the Mpanau plant, Palu, Sulawesi has invited c ...
Tuesday, 08 February 11
BAYAN, KANGAROO EXTEND DUE DILIGENCE
Coal miner controlled by businessman Dato' Low Tuck Kwong PT Bayan Resources Tbk (BYAN) and Australia-listed coal company Kangaroo Resources Limite ...
Tuesday, 08 February 11
DRY BULK: IS THE TIDE TURNING? - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
In what could be perceived as a change of market sentiment for the better, the dry bulk industry’s benchmark, the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) poste ...
Monday, 07 February 11
THE INDONESIAN COAL REFERENCE PRICE HAS JUMPED 13.03 PERCENT IN FEBRUARY 2011
COALspot.com - Indonesia’s Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources has set the February 2011 Indonesian Coal Reference Price for therma ...
Monday, 07 February 11
RICHARDS BAY COAL TERMINAL EXPORTS SURGE, BUOYED BY ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT IN CHINA AND INDIA
COALspot.com - Richards Bay Coal Terminal (RBCT) announced today that 2010 exports have exceeded the last two years’ performance, said in a re ...
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- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- White Energy Company Limited
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- The University of Queensland
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Australian Coal Association
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
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