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Wednesday, 12 January 11
BULKER DELIVERIES WEIGHING IN ON FREIGHT RATES KEEPING SENTIMENT ON A NEGATIVE MODE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
A flurry of new buildings still hitting the water has caught up for good with the freight market, with capesizes unable to weather the storm. With rates now closing in to $10,000/day for a capesize, it’s just a matter of time before some owners at least begin considering even the option of layoffs, as the market’s downturn is such that it could simulate the conditions prevailing during the financial crisis of the final months of 2008. Of course, global dry bulk trade is far from the state it was back then, demand for goods is solid and the global economy is in a large part recovering, although at a slower than expected pace.
Still, capesize rates have kept on falling, ending yesterday down by 3.86 percent, according to the Baltic Exchange. This meand that the market for capesizes has fallen by more than 25% since Christmas Eve. “Although the Atlantic held up for a while, by the end of the month it had attracted ships from the Pacific, ensuring rates softened in both markets” said shipbroker BRS (Barry Rogliano Salles) in its weekly report. As a whole the BDI fell by 1% yesterday to reach 1,480 points a new low in more than two years. The only bright spot seems to be the Panamax market, which has continued to find support and widening its gap in terms of daily earnings from its larger counterpart, the capesize segment.
According to N. Cotzias Shipping Group, “the negative trend that was there during week 51 of 2010 continued well into 2011 and the overcapacity issue that we had repeatedly warned the markets from late 2009 is here to cause more headaches during 2011. We expect the indexes to further reduce their values at least in the larger size segments and any possible recover will be temporary and short lived. What is worth stating is that as long as the developed world markets don’t get seriously into a post –recession stage, and keep operating at idling speeds then the rest of the world and the shipping markets can’t rely solely on China to keep producing the steam for all the world. The load on China’s back is too heavy and unless there is another China… invented in 2011 we feel that the scales that measures the rise in demand for seaborne goods vs the rise in supply of new dry cargo ships will heavily tip over one side… and we all know which side of the scales is already heavily imbalanced!” said the company in its latest report.
As far as overcapacity goes, Cotzias notes that there is a total of more than 3,500 dry bulk carriers on order pending until 2014 of a total of 250mil tons dwt. “These orders are split chronologically as follows: 1854 ships are due for 2011 making up a total of 128mil dwt, 1106 ships due in 2012 of 87mil dwt and 360 ships of 30mil dwt due for 2013-2014. In total there is a massive orderbook only on the Bulkers section and we should not understate the fact that 2011 faces us with more than 55% of the total orderbook scheduled for delivery and that we should also include in this 114 orders of 4mil dwt that are “carried forward” from 2010. The outlook looks worst for Supramax size segment where the total fleet adds up to 69mil dwt tons and has more than 36mil tons to come in the next 2 years included the ships that are “brought forward” as outstanding orders from 2010 (58% possible increase in the next 2 years). The second worst size segments are the VLOC’s andthe Post Panamax sectors that have nearly as much capacity coming within the next 2 year period as the fleet sums up today (we observe a near 100% increase over the next 2 years). The Handymax size segment is looking much better as the orders here are minimal and have also a very largely over-aged fleet with more than 70% being 20 year + in age and the new building orders not exceeding 4mil tons of extra carrying capacity. The Capesize size segment is also largely on threat as the present fleet amounts to 183 tons presently with more than 69mil tons on order until 2012. This will lead to a 38% increase in the fleet that will be shocked by the addition of 25mil more in the larger Very Large Ore Carriers that will act not as a domino effect but more like the Cliffhangers that when one falls over… the weight and pressure is put on the others still hanging solidly on the cliffs to support the rest” said the shipbroker.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Monday, 04 October 10
2 BLN TONS OF COAL RESERVES DISCOVERED IN SOUTHERN PAKISTAN - XINHUA / HELLENIC SHIPPING
Xinhua and Hellenic Shipping reporte dhtat, the discovery of at least two billion tons of usable coal reserves has been confirmed in one of the ...
Sunday, 03 October 10
THE BDI WAS JUST INCREASED BY 8 POINTS AND CLOSED AT 2452 POINTS LAST FRIDAY - VISTAAR
COALspot.com: The BDI was almost at same levels and just increased by 8 points and closed at 2452 points , however the cape index was up by al ...
Sunday, 03 October 10
NALCO TO FINALIZE INDONESIA COAL DEAL BY JANUARY - HINDUSTAN TIMES
HindustanTimes reported that, state-owned National Aluminium Company (NALCO) will finalise a deal with a coal source in Indonesia for its $4 billion ...
Sunday, 03 October 10
INDONESIA WILL BECOME A NET IMPORTER OF ENERGY IN 2030 - BPPT
Jakarta Updates reported that,Indonesian Agency for the Assessment and Application of Technology (BPPT) predicted that the energy situation in Indon ...
Saturday, 02 October 10
FOUR INDONESIAN COAL FIRMS KEEN TO TIE UP WITH NALCO - SIFY
Sify reported that, Four Indonesian coal companies have shown interest to tie up with public sector National Aluminium Company (Nalco) for its 4 bil ...
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- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Australian Coal Association
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
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