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Wednesday, 12 January 11
BULKER DELIVERIES WEIGHING IN ON FREIGHT RATES KEEPING SENTIMENT ON A NEGATIVE MODE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
A flurry of new buildings still hitting the water has caught up for good with the freight market, with capesizes unable to weather the storm. With rates now closing in to $10,000/day for a capesize, it’s just a matter of time before some owners at least begin considering even the option of layoffs, as the market’s downturn is such that it could simulate the conditions prevailing during the financial crisis of the final months of 2008. Of course, global dry bulk trade is far from the state it was back then, demand for goods is solid and the global economy is in a large part recovering, although at a slower than expected pace.
Still, capesize rates have kept on falling, ending yesterday down by 3.86 percent, according to the Baltic Exchange. This meand that the market for capesizes has fallen by more than 25% since Christmas Eve. “Although the Atlantic held up for a while, by the end of the month it had attracted ships from the Pacific, ensuring rates softened in both markets” said shipbroker BRS (Barry Rogliano Salles) in its weekly report. As a whole the BDI fell by 1% yesterday to reach 1,480 points a new low in more than two years. The only bright spot seems to be the Panamax market, which has continued to find support and widening its gap in terms of daily earnings from its larger counterpart, the capesize segment.
According to N. Cotzias Shipping Group, “the negative trend that was there during week 51 of 2010 continued well into 2011 and the overcapacity issue that we had repeatedly warned the markets from late 2009 is here to cause more headaches during 2011. We expect the indexes to further reduce their values at least in the larger size segments and any possible recover will be temporary and short lived. What is worth stating is that as long as the developed world markets don’t get seriously into a post –recession stage, and keep operating at idling speeds then the rest of the world and the shipping markets can’t rely solely on China to keep producing the steam for all the world. The load on China’s back is too heavy and unless there is another China… invented in 2011 we feel that the scales that measures the rise in demand for seaborne goods vs the rise in supply of new dry cargo ships will heavily tip over one side… and we all know which side of the scales is already heavily imbalanced!” said the company in its latest report.
As far as overcapacity goes, Cotzias notes that there is a total of more than 3,500 dry bulk carriers on order pending until 2014 of a total of 250mil tons dwt. “These orders are split chronologically as follows: 1854 ships are due for 2011 making up a total of 128mil dwt, 1106 ships due in 2012 of 87mil dwt and 360 ships of 30mil dwt due for 2013-2014. In total there is a massive orderbook only on the Bulkers section and we should not understate the fact that 2011 faces us with more than 55% of the total orderbook scheduled for delivery and that we should also include in this 114 orders of 4mil dwt that are “carried forward” from 2010. The outlook looks worst for Supramax size segment where the total fleet adds up to 69mil dwt tons and has more than 36mil tons to come in the next 2 years included the ships that are “brought forward” as outstanding orders from 2010 (58% possible increase in the next 2 years). The second worst size segments are the VLOC’s andthe Post Panamax sectors that have nearly as much capacity coming within the next 2 year period as the fleet sums up today (we observe a near 100% increase over the next 2 years). The Handymax size segment is looking much better as the orders here are minimal and have also a very largely over-aged fleet with more than 70% being 20 year + in age and the new building orders not exceeding 4mil tons of extra carrying capacity. The Capesize size segment is also largely on threat as the present fleet amounts to 183 tons presently with more than 69mil tons on order until 2012. This will lead to a 38% increase in the fleet that will be shocked by the addition of 25mil more in the larger Very Large Ore Carriers that will act not as a domino effect but more like the Cliffhangers that when one falls over… the weight and pressure is put on the others still hanging solidly on the cliffs to support the rest” said the shipbroker.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Thursday, 04 November 10
GVK TALKS WITH MEC FOR INDONESIAN MINES DEAL - DNA INDIA
As reported by DNA India, GVK Power and Infrastructure on Wednesday said it is in talks with Gulf-based MEC Coal to buy its coal mines in Indonesia, ...
Wednesday, 03 November 10
PANAMAX SIZE DRY-BULK CARRIER MARKET IS STRONG - GERSON LEHRMAN
Panamax class vessels have been part of the fluctuation of the broader current dry bulk market. They have experienced occasional steep movements, du ...
Tuesday, 02 November 10
ADDED VALUE REMAINS STAGNANT - MAJALAH TAMBANG
The improvement of added value of mining products in accordance with mandate of the mining law has not been visible. Minerals and coal are still exp ...
Saturday, 30 October 10
THE SUPRAMAX FREIGHT MARKET THIS WEEK REMAINED ALMOST AT LAST WEEK LEVELS - VISTAAR SINGAPORE
COALspot.com: The freight market this week remained almost at same levels except for Panamax index which was up by 191 points.
The feast/SE Asia ...
Friday, 29 October 10
CAPE MARKET STARTED TO BREAK THOUGH THE UPWARDS RESISTANCE LEVEL OF USD 40K DAILY FOR SPOT CARGOS - FEARNLEYS
HANDY
The Atlantic markets remain flat and lackluster. The expectations that the grain ...
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- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Planning Commission, India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Australian Coal Association
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
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