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Wednesday, 12 January 11
BULKER DELIVERIES WEIGHING IN ON FREIGHT RATES KEEPING SENTIMENT ON A NEGATIVE MODE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
A flurry of new buildings still hitting the water has caught up for good with the freight market, with capesizes unable to weather the storm. With rates now closing in to $10,000/day for a capesize, it’s just a matter of time before some owners at least begin considering even the option of layoffs, as the market’s downturn is such that it could simulate the conditions prevailing during the financial crisis of the final months of 2008. Of course, global dry bulk trade is far from the state it was back then, demand for goods is solid and the global economy is in a large part recovering, although at a slower than expected pace.
Still, capesize rates have kept on falling, ending yesterday down by 3.86 percent, according to the Baltic Exchange. This meand that the market for capesizes has fallen by more than 25% since Christmas Eve. “Although the Atlantic held up for a while, by the end of the month it had attracted ships from the Pacific, ensuring rates softened in both markets” said shipbroker BRS (Barry Rogliano Salles) in its weekly report. As a whole the BDI fell by 1% yesterday to reach 1,480 points a new low in more than two years. The only bright spot seems to be the Panamax market, which has continued to find support and widening its gap in terms of daily earnings from its larger counterpart, the capesize segment.
According to N. Cotzias Shipping Group, “the negative trend that was there during week 51 of 2010 continued well into 2011 and the overcapacity issue that we had repeatedly warned the markets from late 2009 is here to cause more headaches during 2011. We expect the indexes to further reduce their values at least in the larger size segments and any possible recover will be temporary and short lived. What is worth stating is that as long as the developed world markets don’t get seriously into a post –recession stage, and keep operating at idling speeds then the rest of the world and the shipping markets can’t rely solely on China to keep producing the steam for all the world. The load on China’s back is too heavy and unless there is another China… invented in 2011 we feel that the scales that measures the rise in demand for seaborne goods vs the rise in supply of new dry cargo ships will heavily tip over one side… and we all know which side of the scales is already heavily imbalanced!” said the company in its latest report.
As far as overcapacity goes, Cotzias notes that there is a total of more than 3,500 dry bulk carriers on order pending until 2014 of a total of 250mil tons dwt. “These orders are split chronologically as follows: 1854 ships are due for 2011 making up a total of 128mil dwt, 1106 ships due in 2012 of 87mil dwt and 360 ships of 30mil dwt due for 2013-2014. In total there is a massive orderbook only on the Bulkers section and we should not understate the fact that 2011 faces us with more than 55% of the total orderbook scheduled for delivery and that we should also include in this 114 orders of 4mil dwt that are “carried forward” from 2010. The outlook looks worst for Supramax size segment where the total fleet adds up to 69mil dwt tons and has more than 36mil tons to come in the next 2 years included the ships that are “brought forward” as outstanding orders from 2010 (58% possible increase in the next 2 years). The second worst size segments are the VLOC’s andthe Post Panamax sectors that have nearly as much capacity coming within the next 2 year period as the fleet sums up today (we observe a near 100% increase over the next 2 years). The Handymax size segment is looking much better as the orders here are minimal and have also a very largely over-aged fleet with more than 70% being 20 year + in age and the new building orders not exceeding 4mil tons of extra carrying capacity. The Capesize size segment is also largely on threat as the present fleet amounts to 183 tons presently with more than 69mil tons on order until 2012. This will lead to a 38% increase in the fleet that will be shocked by the addition of 25mil more in the larger Very Large Ore Carriers that will act not as a domino effect but more like the Cliffhangers that when one falls over… the weight and pressure is put on the others still hanging solidly on the cliffs to support the rest” said the shipbroker.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Saturday, 20 November 10
ITALIAN STEAM COAL MARKET HAS RECOVERED - ITALIAN COAL ASSOCIATION
Press Release - This year Italy will import 17 million tons of steam coal, up 3% from 2009, and 5.5 million tons of coking coal and PCI, up 37% over ...
Friday, 19 November 10
WE'LL THINK ABOUT COAL TOMORROW - ANALYSIS
The future of coal generation in Russia is in question. The largest energy companies have abandoned their initial plans to switch their therma ...
Friday, 19 November 10
DRY BULK MARKET ON THE ROPES WITH BDI PLUNGING TO 2,164 POINTS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
With the panamax markets suffering the most this week, but a ray of hope for the capesize market, which appears to be stabilizing after days of fall ...
Thursday, 18 November 10
WORLD COAL ASSOCIATION WELCOMES NEW CHAIRMAN & SHENHUA GROUP AS NEW MEMBER 17 NOVEMBER 2010
Press Release – The premier global coal industry association marks its 25th anniversary with a new Chairman and welcomes China’s lar ...
Thursday, 18 November 10
MUNDRA PORT AWARDED BEST PRIVATE PORT - COMMODITY ONLINE / HELLENIC SHIPPING
Adani Group owned, Mundra Port has been awarded the Annual Indian Maritime Gateway Award for the Best Private Port of the Year for the third consecu ...
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- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Planning Commission, India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- The University of Queensland
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
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