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Wednesday, 12 January 11
BULKER DELIVERIES WEIGHING IN ON FREIGHT RATES KEEPING SENTIMENT ON A NEGATIVE MODE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
A flurry of new buildings still hitting the water has caught up for good with the freight market, with capesizes unable to weather the storm. With rates now closing in to $10,000/day for a capesize, it’s just a matter of time before some owners at least begin considering even the option of layoffs, as the market’s downturn is such that it could simulate the conditions prevailing during the financial crisis of the final months of 2008. Of course, global dry bulk trade is far from the state it was back then, demand for goods is solid and the global economy is in a large part recovering, although at a slower than expected pace.
Still, capesize rates have kept on falling, ending yesterday down by 3.86 percent, according to the Baltic Exchange. This meand that the market for capesizes has fallen by more than 25% since Christmas Eve. “Although the Atlantic held up for a while, by the end of the month it had attracted ships from the Pacific, ensuring rates softened in both markets” said shipbroker BRS (Barry Rogliano Salles) in its weekly report. As a whole the BDI fell by 1% yesterday to reach 1,480 points a new low in more than two years. The only bright spot seems to be the Panamax market, which has continued to find support and widening its gap in terms of daily earnings from its larger counterpart, the capesize segment.
According to N. Cotzias Shipping Group, “the negative trend that was there during week 51 of 2010 continued well into 2011 and the overcapacity issue that we had repeatedly warned the markets from late 2009 is here to cause more headaches during 2011. We expect the indexes to further reduce their values at least in the larger size segments and any possible recover will be temporary and short lived. What is worth stating is that as long as the developed world markets don’t get seriously into a post –recession stage, and keep operating at idling speeds then the rest of the world and the shipping markets can’t rely solely on China to keep producing the steam for all the world. The load on China’s back is too heavy and unless there is another China… invented in 2011 we feel that the scales that measures the rise in demand for seaborne goods vs the rise in supply of new dry cargo ships will heavily tip over one side… and we all know which side of the scales is already heavily imbalanced!” said the company in its latest report.
As far as overcapacity goes, Cotzias notes that there is a total of more than 3,500 dry bulk carriers on order pending until 2014 of a total of 250mil tons dwt. “These orders are split chronologically as follows: 1854 ships are due for 2011 making up a total of 128mil dwt, 1106 ships due in 2012 of 87mil dwt and 360 ships of 30mil dwt due for 2013-2014. In total there is a massive orderbook only on the Bulkers section and we should not understate the fact that 2011 faces us with more than 55% of the total orderbook scheduled for delivery and that we should also include in this 114 orders of 4mil dwt that are “carried forward” from 2010. The outlook looks worst for Supramax size segment where the total fleet adds up to 69mil dwt tons and has more than 36mil tons to come in the next 2 years included the ships that are “brought forward” as outstanding orders from 2010 (58% possible increase in the next 2 years). The second worst size segments are the VLOC’s andthe Post Panamax sectors that have nearly as much capacity coming within the next 2 year period as the fleet sums up today (we observe a near 100% increase over the next 2 years). The Handymax size segment is looking much better as the orders here are minimal and have also a very largely over-aged fleet with more than 70% being 20 year + in age and the new building orders not exceeding 4mil tons of extra carrying capacity. The Capesize size segment is also largely on threat as the present fleet amounts to 183 tons presently with more than 69mil tons on order until 2012. This will lead to a 38% increase in the fleet that will be shocked by the addition of 25mil more in the larger Very Large Ore Carriers that will act not as a domino effect but more like the Cliffhangers that when one falls over… the weight and pressure is put on the others still hanging solidly on the cliffs to support the rest” said the shipbroker.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Thursday, 09 December 10
DRY BULK MARKET LOOKING FOR DIRECTION THIS WEEK, AS CAPESIZE SHIPS END THEIR MISFORTUNES - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk has began the week on a positive note capitalizing on the positive sentiment which finally prevailed during the last days of the previo ...
Monday, 06 December 10
NTPC MAY OPT FOR INDONESIA OVER AFRICA, OZ FOR COAL MINES
Country's largest power producer NTPC, which is scouting for coal properties abroad to fuel its power plants back home, may zero in on Indonesia fo ...
Saturday, 04 December 10
INDONESIA TO INDIA AND CHINA SEA FREIGHT UP BY ABOUT US$ 2.50 PMT - CAPT. REDDY
COALspot.com - The freight market even though remained weak, but towards end of the week the market seemed to firm up.
The BDI was almost at sam ...
Saturday, 04 December 10
OFF WEST COAST OF INDIA TONNAGE IS SEEMINGLY QUITE SPARSE - FEARNBULK
Handy
The Atlantic markets are weak and remained unusually calm after the Thanksgiving ...
Friday, 03 December 10
INDONESIAN LOW RANK COAL IS ATTRACTING COAL BUYERS FROM INDIA AND CHINA
COALspot.com - Bhakti Energi Persada has sold out its whole coal production until the end of 2011, Jeffry Mulyono said during McCloskey Asia P ...
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- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Planning Commission, India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- White Energy Company Limited
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Economic Council, Georgia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
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