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Wednesday, 12 January 11
BULKER DELIVERIES WEIGHING IN ON FREIGHT RATES KEEPING SENTIMENT ON A NEGATIVE MODE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
A flurry of new buildings still hitting the water has caught up for good with the freight market, with capesizes unable to weather the storm. With rates now closing in to $10,000/day for a capesize, it’s just a matter of time before some owners at least begin considering even the option of layoffs, as the market’s downturn is such that it could simulate the conditions prevailing during the financial crisis of the final months of 2008. Of course, global dry bulk trade is far from the state it was back then, demand for goods is solid and the global economy is in a large part recovering, although at a slower than expected pace.
Still, capesize rates have kept on falling, ending yesterday down by 3.86 percent, according to the Baltic Exchange. This meand that the market for capesizes has fallen by more than 25% since Christmas Eve. “Although the Atlantic held up for a while, by the end of the month it had attracted ships from the Pacific, ensuring rates softened in both markets” said shipbroker BRS (Barry Rogliano Salles) in its weekly report. As a whole the BDI fell by 1% yesterday to reach 1,480 points a new low in more than two years. The only bright spot seems to be the Panamax market, which has continued to find support and widening its gap in terms of daily earnings from its larger counterpart, the capesize segment.
According to N. Cotzias Shipping Group, “the negative trend that was there during week 51 of 2010 continued well into 2011 and the overcapacity issue that we had repeatedly warned the markets from late 2009 is here to cause more headaches during 2011. We expect the indexes to further reduce their values at least in the larger size segments and any possible recover will be temporary and short lived. What is worth stating is that as long as the developed world markets don’t get seriously into a post –recession stage, and keep operating at idling speeds then the rest of the world and the shipping markets can’t rely solely on China to keep producing the steam for all the world. The load on China’s back is too heavy and unless there is another China… invented in 2011 we feel that the scales that measures the rise in demand for seaborne goods vs the rise in supply of new dry cargo ships will heavily tip over one side… and we all know which side of the scales is already heavily imbalanced!” said the company in its latest report.
As far as overcapacity goes, Cotzias notes that there is a total of more than 3,500 dry bulk carriers on order pending until 2014 of a total of 250mil tons dwt. “These orders are split chronologically as follows: 1854 ships are due for 2011 making up a total of 128mil dwt, 1106 ships due in 2012 of 87mil dwt and 360 ships of 30mil dwt due for 2013-2014. In total there is a massive orderbook only on the Bulkers section and we should not understate the fact that 2011 faces us with more than 55% of the total orderbook scheduled for delivery and that we should also include in this 114 orders of 4mil dwt that are “carried forward” from 2010. The outlook looks worst for Supramax size segment where the total fleet adds up to 69mil dwt tons and has more than 36mil tons to come in the next 2 years included the ships that are “brought forward” as outstanding orders from 2010 (58% possible increase in the next 2 years). The second worst size segments are the VLOC’s andthe Post Panamax sectors that have nearly as much capacity coming within the next 2 year period as the fleet sums up today (we observe a near 100% increase over the next 2 years). The Handymax size segment is looking much better as the orders here are minimal and have also a very largely over-aged fleet with more than 70% being 20 year + in age and the new building orders not exceeding 4mil tons of extra carrying capacity. The Capesize size segment is also largely on threat as the present fleet amounts to 183 tons presently with more than 69mil tons on order until 2012. This will lead to a 38% increase in the fleet that will be shocked by the addition of 25mil more in the larger Very Large Ore Carriers that will act not as a domino effect but more like the Cliffhangers that when one falls over… the weight and pressure is put on the others still hanging solidly on the cliffs to support the rest” said the shipbroker.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Thursday, 30 December 10
DRY BULK MARKET STAYS SUBDUED AT THE END OF 2010 - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dy bulk market failed to cheer ship owners across the board as the year draws to an end, thus bringing mixed feelings ahead of 2011. On one hand ...
Thursday, 30 December 10
KANGAROO RESOURCES BUYS INDONESIAN COAL COMPANY
Australian-listed Kangaroo Resources Ltd. said Wednesday it will buy 99% of the Pakar thermal coal project in East Kalimantan, for A$277 million thr ...
Wednesday, 29 December 10
WEATHER IMPACTS RIO TINTO COAL AUSTRALIAS QUEENSLAND OPERATIONS
Press Release - As a result of severe monsoonal rain in central and northern Queensland, force majeure has been declared on coal sales contracts fro ...
Monday, 27 December 10
ANALYSIS: CHINA'S COAL PRODUCTION MISMATCHED WITH DOMESTIC DEMAND
As reported by iStock Analyst, China's coal market has been trapped in a strange cycle. Large coal production bases are facing overcapacity, while ...
Monday, 27 December 10
HUNT FOR OVERSEAS COAL ASSETS TO INTENSIFY - FINANCIAL EXPRESS
Financial Express reported that, With the Indian economy back on the track after the slowdown, merger and acquisition (M&A) activities in the re ...
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- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Australian Coal Association
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- The University of Queensland
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- White Energy Company Limited
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
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