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Wednesday, 12 January 11
BULKER DELIVERIES WEIGHING IN ON FREIGHT RATES KEEPING SENTIMENT ON A NEGATIVE MODE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
A flurry of new buildings still hitting the water has caught up for good with the freight market, with capesizes unable to weather the storm. With rates now closing in to $10,000/day for a capesize, it’s just a matter of time before some owners at least begin considering even the option of layoffs, as the market’s downturn is such that it could simulate the conditions prevailing during the financial crisis of the final months of 2008. Of course, global dry bulk trade is far from the state it was back then, demand for goods is solid and the global economy is in a large part recovering, although at a slower than expected pace.
Still, capesize rates have kept on falling, ending yesterday down by 3.86 percent, according to the Baltic Exchange. This meand that the market for capesizes has fallen by more than 25% since Christmas Eve. “Although the Atlantic held up for a while, by the end of the month it had attracted ships from the Pacific, ensuring rates softened in both markets” said shipbroker BRS (Barry Rogliano Salles) in its weekly report. As a whole the BDI fell by 1% yesterday to reach 1,480 points a new low in more than two years. The only bright spot seems to be the Panamax market, which has continued to find support and widening its gap in terms of daily earnings from its larger counterpart, the capesize segment.
According to N. Cotzias Shipping Group, “the negative trend that was there during week 51 of 2010 continued well into 2011 and the overcapacity issue that we had repeatedly warned the markets from late 2009 is here to cause more headaches during 2011. We expect the indexes to further reduce their values at least in the larger size segments and any possible recover will be temporary and short lived. What is worth stating is that as long as the developed world markets don’t get seriously into a post –recession stage, and keep operating at idling speeds then the rest of the world and the shipping markets can’t rely solely on China to keep producing the steam for all the world. The load on China’s back is too heavy and unless there is another China… invented in 2011 we feel that the scales that measures the rise in demand for seaborne goods vs the rise in supply of new dry cargo ships will heavily tip over one side… and we all know which side of the scales is already heavily imbalanced!” said the company in its latest report.
As far as overcapacity goes, Cotzias notes that there is a total of more than 3,500 dry bulk carriers on order pending until 2014 of a total of 250mil tons dwt. “These orders are split chronologically as follows: 1854 ships are due for 2011 making up a total of 128mil dwt, 1106 ships due in 2012 of 87mil dwt and 360 ships of 30mil dwt due for 2013-2014. In total there is a massive orderbook only on the Bulkers section and we should not understate the fact that 2011 faces us with more than 55% of the total orderbook scheduled for delivery and that we should also include in this 114 orders of 4mil dwt that are “carried forward” from 2010. The outlook looks worst for Supramax size segment where the total fleet adds up to 69mil dwt tons and has more than 36mil tons to come in the next 2 years included the ships that are “brought forward” as outstanding orders from 2010 (58% possible increase in the next 2 years). The second worst size segments are the VLOC’s andthe Post Panamax sectors that have nearly as much capacity coming within the next 2 year period as the fleet sums up today (we observe a near 100% increase over the next 2 years). The Handymax size segment is looking much better as the orders here are minimal and have also a very largely over-aged fleet with more than 70% being 20 year + in age and the new building orders not exceeding 4mil tons of extra carrying capacity. The Capesize size segment is also largely on threat as the present fleet amounts to 183 tons presently with more than 69mil tons on order until 2012. This will lead to a 38% increase in the fleet that will be shocked by the addition of 25mil more in the larger Very Large Ore Carriers that will act not as a domino effect but more like the Cliffhangers that when one falls over… the weight and pressure is put on the others still hanging solidly on the cliffs to support the rest” said the shipbroker.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Wednesday, 02 February 11
BAYAN TO SUPPLY COAL TO TP UTILITIES LTD
Insider Stories has reportd that, Indonesia's one of the leading coal miner PT Bayan Resources Tbk (BYAN) owned by businessman Dato' Low Tuck ...
Wednesday, 02 February 11
HUGE TONNAGE OVERSUPPLY LOOMING FOR DRY BULK MARKET - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
With the dry bulk market taking another dive yesterday, to just over 1,000 points (1,084), losing more than 2% on the day, it’s more than obvi ...
Monday, 31 January 11
S. SUMATRA COAL RAILWAY TO BE COMPLETED ON SCHEDULE - THE JAKARTA POST
The Jakarta Post reported that, despite land acquisition problems, state coal mining company PT Bukit Asam is upbeat that the development of a railw ...
Monday, 31 January 11
COAL MINER PTBA TO DRIVE OUTPUT WITH ACQUISITIONS - THE JAKARTA GLOBE
The Jakarta Globe reported that, State coal company Perusahaan Tambang Batubara Bukit Asam said its output would increase 34 percent to 17.6 million ...
Saturday, 29 January 11
PRESSURE ON SHIPPING MARKET MAY CONTINUE UNTIL MID FEBRUARY 2011
COALspot.com - The BDI continues to drop and saw a drop of about 5 pct this week closing at 1370 points.
In May 2010 the BDI touched 4,209 ...
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- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- The University of Queensland
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Australian Coal Association
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Planning Commission, India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
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