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Wednesday, 12 January 11
BULKER DELIVERIES WEIGHING IN ON FREIGHT RATES KEEPING SENTIMENT ON A NEGATIVE MODE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
A flurry of new buildings still hitting the water has caught up for good with the freight market, with capesizes unable to weather the storm. With rates now closing in to $10,000/day for a capesize, it’s just a matter of time before some owners at least begin considering even the option of layoffs, as the market’s downturn is such that it could simulate the conditions prevailing during the financial crisis of the final months of 2008. Of course, global dry bulk trade is far from the state it was back then, demand for goods is solid and the global economy is in a large part recovering, although at a slower than expected pace.
Still, capesize rates have kept on falling, ending yesterday down by 3.86 percent, according to the Baltic Exchange. This meand that the market for capesizes has fallen by more than 25% since Christmas Eve. “Although the Atlantic held up for a while, by the end of the month it had attracted ships from the Pacific, ensuring rates softened in both markets” said shipbroker BRS (Barry Rogliano Salles) in its weekly report. As a whole the BDI fell by 1% yesterday to reach 1,480 points a new low in more than two years. The only bright spot seems to be the Panamax market, which has continued to find support and widening its gap in terms of daily earnings from its larger counterpart, the capesize segment.
According to N. Cotzias Shipping Group, “the negative trend that was there during week 51 of 2010 continued well into 2011 and the overcapacity issue that we had repeatedly warned the markets from late 2009 is here to cause more headaches during 2011. We expect the indexes to further reduce their values at least in the larger size segments and any possible recover will be temporary and short lived. What is worth stating is that as long as the developed world markets don’t get seriously into a post –recession stage, and keep operating at idling speeds then the rest of the world and the shipping markets can’t rely solely on China to keep producing the steam for all the world. The load on China’s back is too heavy and unless there is another China… invented in 2011 we feel that the scales that measures the rise in demand for seaborne goods vs the rise in supply of new dry cargo ships will heavily tip over one side… and we all know which side of the scales is already heavily imbalanced!” said the company in its latest report.
As far as overcapacity goes, Cotzias notes that there is a total of more than 3,500 dry bulk carriers on order pending until 2014 of a total of 250mil tons dwt. “These orders are split chronologically as follows: 1854 ships are due for 2011 making up a total of 128mil dwt, 1106 ships due in 2012 of 87mil dwt and 360 ships of 30mil dwt due for 2013-2014. In total there is a massive orderbook only on the Bulkers section and we should not understate the fact that 2011 faces us with more than 55% of the total orderbook scheduled for delivery and that we should also include in this 114 orders of 4mil dwt that are “carried forward” from 2010. The outlook looks worst for Supramax size segment where the total fleet adds up to 69mil dwt tons and has more than 36mil tons to come in the next 2 years included the ships that are “brought forward” as outstanding orders from 2010 (58% possible increase in the next 2 years). The second worst size segments are the VLOC’s andthe Post Panamax sectors that have nearly as much capacity coming within the next 2 year period as the fleet sums up today (we observe a near 100% increase over the next 2 years). The Handymax size segment is looking much better as the orders here are minimal and have also a very largely over-aged fleet with more than 70% being 20 year + in age and the new building orders not exceeding 4mil tons of extra carrying capacity. The Capesize size segment is also largely on threat as the present fleet amounts to 183 tons presently with more than 69mil tons on order until 2012. This will lead to a 38% increase in the fleet that will be shocked by the addition of 25mil more in the larger Very Large Ore Carriers that will act not as a domino effect but more like the Cliffhangers that when one falls over… the weight and pressure is put on the others still hanging solidly on the cliffs to support the rest” said the shipbroker.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Monday, 14 March 11
IRON ORE TRADING WORLD EUROPE 2011
Press Release - Strategy and opportunity for miners, steelmakers, end users and the financial community.
The iron ore spot market is growing at a ...
Sunday, 13 March 11
COAL NO LONGER A CHEAP ENERGY SOURCE - THE SUNDAY LEADER
The Sunday Leader reported that, the addition of power generated through coal power to the country’s national grid was initially expected to r ...
Sunday, 13 March 11
THE FREIGHT MARKET SEEMS WILL BE FIRM FOR MARCH AND APRIL - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The freight market continued to rise with the BDI crossing 1500 points and the cape size index up by 32 pct and all other segments al ...
Friday, 11 March 11
THE HANDY MARKET IS QUITE VOLATILE
Handy
Lacklustre week as the USG is the only bright light with high volumes of petcoke/coal into the Med (paying mid 20´s bss aps USG). Litt ...
Thursday, 10 March 11
DRY BULK MARKET SHOWING SIGNS OF STRONGER RECOVERY - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market jumped by 3.37% yesterday, with the industry’s benchmark, the Baltic Dry Index (BDI), moving up to 1,472 points, levels no ...
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- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- PTC India Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- White Energy Company Limited
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
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