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Thursday, 09 December 10
DRY BULK MARKET LOOKING FOR DIRECTION THIS WEEK, AS CAPESIZE SHIPS END THEIR MISFORTUNES - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk has began the week on a positive note capitalizing on the positive sentiment which finally prevailed during the last days of the previous week. Still, the question on most people’s lips is whether the current lull in the capesize sector will continue, or if Chinese steel mills decide to make a final push to restock in iron ore before the year ends. Yesterday, the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) was up by 0.51% to 2,179 points, while the capesize segment was practically unchanged to 2,987 points, rising by a mere four points or 0.13%.
According to shipbrokers’ reports though, Capesize and VLOC ship owners could be in for some hard times as we move forward into 2011. According to N.Cotzias’ latest weekly report, “what we saw as the most interesting pick of the week, was the continued downward return of Capes with 6 continuous downward sessions, which stopped Thursday onwards and turned positive for days, the 9 consecutive positive sessions of the Panamax size segment that turned negative on Friday we note that the Panamax sector poses a great deal of weekly volatility, we also comment on the Supramax sector that after 29 negative sessions count nine consecutive positive runs, and the Handies following closely with a very similar prolonged 34 days continual downhill run, that has already turned into an 8 day positive switch”.
But, Cotzias remains very sceptical regarding the capesize sector and specifically, whether it has found a potential “bottom”, or if it still has room to fall even further. “This negative negative momentum on the large ships has increased the uncertainty and has raised more of our concern about China’s ability to “support” all new ships that “fall in the water” every day.
On the other hand continued deliveries of so many new ships that have been added to the active fleet, is a seriously alarming problem that we feel has not been faced with the amount of seriousness and adequate severity. Many new ships almost 2 ½ ships Bulk Carriers have been delivered each day for the whole year with 11 months completed, and that ends up bringing the active fleet over 70 mil tones tallying a massive total 617 mil tones of carrying capacity. There are still pending for the remainder of 2010 (27 days!!!!) 730 ships of 16.3 mil tones that in theory have to be delivered by end of 2010” said Cotzias, highlighting the oversupply problem of the dry bulk market.
Of course it goes without saying that most of these will not and can’t be delivered later this year and will be transferred to the already strained orderbook waiting for 2011, where the expected dry cargo ships amount to 1851 ships of a total capacity of 129 mil tones. “We are of the considered opinion that there was a significant increase in the world fleet during 2010 and many more analysts feel that this influx of tonnage has “somewhat dampened” the overall positive effects of China’s growing demand. This dampening has kept the freight market to practically semi-mediocre or at the best case to well above sustainability daily levels, and had we had the same amount of tonnage instead of the +70mil dwt fleet we could have seen freight levels of 20-30% above the actual levels. Cancellations and scrapping are the only effective measures we may use against the overcapacity issues, but unless these ships cancelled or scrapped are tripled in volume, the problem will occur and we will just feel that up to now we would have swept the dust under the carpet” concluded Cotzias.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Wednesday, 15 December 10
LARGE ORDERBOOK TO HINDER 2011 DRY BULK MARKET REBOUND DESPITE INCREASED DEMAND SAYS PARAGON SHIPPING - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
A large orderbook which currently stands at 53% of the existing fleet is expected to render 2011 another challenging year for the dry bulk marke ...
Wednesday, 15 December 10
SMALLER DRY BULK VESSELS ARE LOOKING UP, LARGER ONES FAIL TO DELIVER - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market lost further ground at the beginning of the week, in what could prove one of the slowest periods ship owners have been faced. Ye ...
Tuesday, 14 December 10
COAL IMPORTS MAY INCREASE 78% TO CHINA, INDIA: ENERGY MARKETS - BUSINESS WEEK
Business Week reported that, China and India may increase imports of coal by 78 percent to 337 million metric tons next year, further driving up pri ...
Tuesday, 14 December 10
BANPU PLANNING PRODUCTION BOOM - BANGKOK POST
Australian, Indonesian output to lead growth
Bangkok Post reported that, Banpu Plc, Asean's largest coal miner, wants to nearly double its coal ...
Tuesday, 14 December 10
THE FREIGHT RATES FROM INDONESIA TO INDIA AND CHINA REMAINED FIRM - CAPT. REDDY
COALspot.com - The freight market continued to be soft with the Cape sector most effected which was down by 289 points and closed at 2,694 poi ...
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- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- PTC India Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
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