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Friday, 29 October 10
CAPE MARKET STARTED TO BREAK THOUGH THE UPWARDS RESISTANCE LEVEL OF USD 40K DAILY FOR SPOT CARGOS - FEARNLEYS


HANDY
The  Atlantic  markets  remain  flat  and  lackluster.  The  expectations  that  the grain  season  would  give  a  push  to  rates  have  not  been  met.  Moreover  the high  volume  of  tonnage  availability  is  keeping  downward  pressure  on  rates. Supras  open  in  USG  are  seeing  mid  30´s  for  T/C  trips  to  the  FEast.  A 46kdwt  fixed  around  usd  27500  dely  USG  to  the  Med  for  end  Oct  dates. Short  period  on  Supras  in  Atlantic  paying  around  usd  20k  with  ww  redel. Outlook  :  Flat.  The  FEast  has  had  a  rather  sluggish  week,  with  relatively limited  activity.  There  has  been  some  activity  from  Indo  to  India  with vessels  opening  SE  Asia  achieving  around  the  17k  level  and  also  Nopac business  about  the  same  level  for  ballasters  in  good  position.  Seems  to  be  an over-supply  of  tonnage  in  the  N.China  area  with  little  cargo  to  be  load.  Hear period  fixing  in  the  high  teens  level  but  with  little  direction  in  the  market there  is  quite  a  stand-off  feel  at  present.

PANAMAX
The  Panamax  market  took  a  turn  this  week  with  rates  increasing  in  both hemispheres.  The  FFA  market  helped  the  period  market  with  rising  values on  Monday  and  flattened  a  bit  on  Tuesday.  It  is  especially  the  shortage  in prompt  positions  that  push  the  rates  upwards  and  in  the  Pacific  several owners  ballast  into  the  USG  helping  the  Pacific  market  further.  The  Pacific round  voyages  are  now  done  in  the  region  of  low/mid  20´s  while  the  Tarv´s are  being  fixed  in  the  region  of  high  teens.  Fronthauls  fetching  high  20´s and  for  the  short  periods  owners  are  very  bullish  asking  ard  mid  20´s.  We expect  the  market  to  continue  its  strengthening  as  the  Cape  rates  continue  to increase  and  we  see  more  split  cargoes  being  quoted.

CAPESIZE
After  a  continued  stable  and  firm  Cape  market,  the  Cape  market  started  to break  though  the  upwards  resistance  level  of  USD  40k  daily  for  spot  cargos in  the  Pacific.  The  BCI  has  risen  from  4363  to  4461,  an  average  T/C improvement  of  USD  667/day.  This  surprisingly  as  Vale  concluded  the business  they  were  planning  for  November  by  Tuesday  last  week,  and  have since  been  absent  from  the  market.  The  Atlantic  market  has  continued  to  pay a  premium  over  the  Pacific,  but  volumes  have  been  low  with  good  balance between  tonnage  and  demand.  What  has  driven  the  fronthaul  T/C  market  has been  the  N.Atlantic  ore  market  with  several  Narvik  and  St.  Lawrence  cargos being  fixed  at  rates  close  to  USD  70k,  a  level  Brazil  has  not  been  able  to compete  with.  In  the  Pacific,  the  Miners  have  continued  to  be  active  and although  the  Atlantic  is  now  showing  signs  of  softening,  this  market  is  still moving  upwards,  and  rates  in  the  upper  USD  12´s  are  being  paid  for W.Australia  cargos  -  this  equates  to  USD  41k/day.
Source: FEARNBULK

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