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Saturday, 24 July 10
ANALYSIS - GROWTH IN VESSEL SUPPLY PRESSURES OCEAN FREIGHT RATES
 It's common to use global shipping rate trends as a proxy of global economic health. If demand for goods and raw materials are strong, so should it be transparent in rising shipping rates and demand to move product across the ocean. But rates have tumbled dramatically in the past two months. A benchmark indicator is the U.S. Gulf to Japan route for a generic 50,000-tonne vessel. In mid-May, rates were US$73/t and dropped to $51/tonne one week ago, now rising slightly to $55/t.
The greatest declines are for the biggest vessels (70,000t tonnes or more), the ones used to carry iron ore and coal from Australia and Brazil to China. Such ships cost about US$48,000 a day in late May; but are now only about $18,000 a day, according to industry participants. China's demand for steel appears to have cooled following the recent price surge during the first half of the year and China's effort to cool property markets by restricting credit.
This doesn't imply the beginning of a permanent downtrend. China's economy may be slowing, but the need for raw ingredients can be expected to continue to rise... just that it comes and goes in waves. Furthermore, supply of ships is increasing. It takes about two to three years for a ship to be built and ready to sail after an order is placed and the freight rate spike of three years ago accelerated orders. During first-half 2010, new vessels are coming into service at a rate of 16 a month, a 23 per cent increase over last year, according to industry sources. However, this is now increasing to 23 a month.
Container rates, meanwhile, are reported to be flat. Freight rates from Vancouver to India have slipped fromUS$70-75/t three months ago to$55-60/t. This has helped edible pea bids. Vancouver to China is about U.S. $35/t, down from three-month ago levels of around $50/t. Cheaper ocean freight is generally considered favourable as it lowers the cost of landed goods. Right now, this feels more like a supply growth push in vessel availability than a collapse in demand.
Source: Resource News International / Hellenic Shipping
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Monday, 17 August 09
COAL EXPORTS CONTINUE DESPITE SHORTAGE
Vietnam News reported that, Viet Nam is exporting more coal despite a warning from experts that the country could face a shortage of this fossil fue ...
Monday, 17 August 09
S.KOREA JULY COAL IMPORTS UP TO 8.97 MLN T
* Imports of heating coal in July up 3.7 percent on year
* LNG imports in July fall for seventh straight month
Alibaba reorted that, South Kore ...
Monday, 17 August 09
COAL INDIA PLANS A PRICE HIKE OF 11%
With the state-run CIL mining 84% of the coal produced in the country, an 11% increase will push up inflation by around 0.16%, the company said
L ...
Monday, 17 August 09
BANPU SEES INDONESIAN MINE OUTPUT UP 10 PCT IN 2010
Reuters reported that, Thailand's top coal miner, Banpu, said on Monday it expected coal output from its Indonesian mines to rise 10 percent to abo ...
Monday, 17 August 09
COAL IMPORTS SURGE IN H1
China is one of the world's leading coal producers. But even so, imports of coal have surged in the first half of the year, hitting a record in Jun ...
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- ASAPP Information Group - India
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- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
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- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
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- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
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- McConnell Dowell - Australia
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- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
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- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
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- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
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- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
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- Agrawal Coal Company - India
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