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Saturday, 24 July 10
ANALYSIS - GROWTH IN VESSEL SUPPLY PRESSURES OCEAN FREIGHT RATES
 It's common to use global shipping rate trends as a proxy of global economic health. If demand for goods and raw materials are strong, so should it be transparent in rising shipping rates and demand to move product across the ocean. But rates have tumbled dramatically in the past two months. A benchmark indicator is the U.S. Gulf to Japan route for a generic 50,000-tonne vessel. In mid-May, rates were US$73/t and dropped to $51/tonne one week ago, now rising slightly to $55/t.
The greatest declines are for the biggest vessels (70,000t tonnes or more), the ones used to carry iron ore and coal from Australia and Brazil to China. Such ships cost about US$48,000 a day in late May; but are now only about $18,000 a day, according to industry participants. China's demand for steel appears to have cooled following the recent price surge during the first half of the year and China's effort to cool property markets by restricting credit.
This doesn't imply the beginning of a permanent downtrend. China's economy may be slowing, but the need for raw ingredients can be expected to continue to rise... just that it comes and goes in waves. Furthermore, supply of ships is increasing. It takes about two to three years for a ship to be built and ready to sail after an order is placed and the freight rate spike of three years ago accelerated orders. During first-half 2010, new vessels are coming into service at a rate of 16 a month, a 23 per cent increase over last year, according to industry sources. However, this is now increasing to 23 a month.
Container rates, meanwhile, are reported to be flat. Freight rates from Vancouver to India have slipped fromUS$70-75/t three months ago to$55-60/t. This has helped edible pea bids. Vancouver to China is about U.S. $35/t, down from three-month ago levels of around $50/t. Cheaper ocean freight is generally considered favourable as it lowers the cost of landed goods. Right now, this feels more like a supply growth push in vessel availability than a collapse in demand.
Source: Resource News International / Hellenic Shipping
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Thursday, 12 November 09
FOREIGN INVESTMENT IN RUSSIAN COAL SECTOR
Reuters reported that, Russia's coal mines, particularly in the Arctic and Far East, are attracting interest from foreign investors as commodity pr ...
Thursday, 12 November 09
BANPU TO INVEST US$ 466 M
Plan targets 33.5m tonnes of coal per year
Bangkok Post reported that, Banpu Plc, Asean's largest coal miner, is planning capital investments of ...
Wednesday, 11 November 09
NORTHSTAR TAKES 40 PER CENT OF INDONESIAN MINING COMPANY
AltAssets reported that, PT Northstar Pacific Partners, the Indonesian affiliate of US private equity firm TPG, has taken a 40 per cent stake in Ind ...
Wednesday, 11 November 09
INDONESIAN COAL MINERS SOLD BIG VOLUMES OF 2010 TO CHINA
* China has scooped up large volumes of Indonesian coal
* Total exports to China in 2010 seen to exceed 20 million T
* Chinese, Indian demand may ...
Wednesday, 11 November 09
INDIAN COAL IMPORT FROM SA IN OCTOBER
Reuters reported that India imported 2.4 million tonnes of coal from South Africa's Richards Bay Coal Terminal in October 2009, 35% of the total of ...
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- Economic Council, Georgia
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- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
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- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
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- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
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- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
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- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
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- Ministry of Mines - Canada
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