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Saturday, 24 July 10
ANALYSIS - GROWTH IN VESSEL SUPPLY PRESSURES OCEAN FREIGHT RATES
 It's common to use global shipping rate trends as a proxy of global economic health. If demand for goods and raw materials are strong, so should it be transparent in rising shipping rates and demand to move product across the ocean. But rates have tumbled dramatically in the past two months. A benchmark indicator is the U.S. Gulf to Japan route for a generic 50,000-tonne vessel. In mid-May, rates were US$73/t and dropped to $51/tonne one week ago, now rising slightly to $55/t.
The greatest declines are for the biggest vessels (70,000t tonnes or more), the ones used to carry iron ore and coal from Australia and Brazil to China. Such ships cost about US$48,000 a day in late May; but are now only about $18,000 a day, according to industry participants. China's demand for steel appears to have cooled following the recent price surge during the first half of the year and China's effort to cool property markets by restricting credit.
This doesn't imply the beginning of a permanent downtrend. China's economy may be slowing, but the need for raw ingredients can be expected to continue to rise... just that it comes and goes in waves. Furthermore, supply of ships is increasing. It takes about two to three years for a ship to be built and ready to sail after an order is placed and the freight rate spike of three years ago accelerated orders. During first-half 2010, new vessels are coming into service at a rate of 16 a month, a 23 per cent increase over last year, according to industry sources. However, this is now increasing to 23 a month.
Container rates, meanwhile, are reported to be flat. Freight rates from Vancouver to India have slipped fromUS$70-75/t three months ago to$55-60/t. This has helped edible pea bids. Vancouver to China is about U.S. $35/t, down from three-month ago levels of around $50/t. Cheaper ocean freight is generally considered favourable as it lowers the cost of landed goods. Right now, this feels more like a supply growth push in vessel availability than a collapse in demand.
Source: Resource News International / Hellenic Shipping
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Thursday, 03 June 10
GOVT CONSIDERING IMPORT PARITY PRICE FOR DOMESTIC COAL
The government on June 1 said it is considering to price domestic coal on par with global rates, a move which may increase the cost of the raw mater ...
Wednesday, 02 June 10
SRI LANKA TESTS 1ST COAL POWER PLANT IN SEPT.
Sri Lanka will start testing its first 300 MegaWatt coal power plant in September with plans to connect it to the national distribution grid by Janu ...
Wednesday, 02 June 10
CHINA'S IRON ORE IMPORTS TO KEEP BEING THE BIGGEST FACTOR FOR DRY BULK FREIGHT RATES SAY READERS
With dry bulk freight rates staging a positive rally during most of May, the industry’s main benchmark, the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) has managed ...
Wednesday, 02 June 10
KIDECO TO PRODUCE 29.5 MILLION TONS OF COAL IN 2010
COALspot.com: Kideco to produce 29.5 million tons of coal in 2010 up 4.8 million or about 19 percent up from 2009 production. Kideco produced 24.7 m ...
Wednesday, 02 June 10
PLN TO DEVOUR 133 PERCENT MORE COAL IN NEXT FIVE YEARS
The Jakarta globe reported that, State electricity company PT Perusahaan Listrik Negara will more than double the amount of coal it uses over the ne ...
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