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Thursday, 15 July 10
IRON ORE PRICING MECHANISMS PUT ON THE SPOT


THE new iron ore pricing mechanisms that killed off the annual benchmark system are coming under pressure. The spot price of the steel feed has fallen more than 20 per cent on weakening Chinese demand. Goldman Sachs analyst Malcolm Southwood said Chinese buyers have been largely absent from the spot market for almost a month and show no immediate inclination to return while sentiment remains weak.

He said the economic powerhouse continues to shun offers as it expects prices to keep falling.

"With spot iron ore trading at a discount of more than 20 per cent to the implied third quarter contract price, the new quarterly pricing mechanism is clearly under duress," he said.

"Our own view is that quarterly pricing based on a trailing average index may prove to be too cumbersome, and monthly price resets could ultimately be a more palatable mechanism for both buyers and sellers."

The top three global iron ore producers, Brazil's Vale, Rio Tinto and BHP Billiton, all pushed their customers off the annual benchmark on to quarterly indexed-based contracts.

Mr Southwood said while the investment bank continued to forecast a supply-constrained seaborne market in 2011, market participants remain focused on the near term, which he said was increasingly difficult to construct a "positive fundamentally driven price view".

"With seasonal factors also depressing demand, we see little prospect of a sustained improvement in market conditions during July-August," he said.

Macquarie's London-based analysts said Chinese mills had been running down their on-site inventory as sentiment turned sour.

"In our opinion, there is no obvious catalyst to arrest the current fall in the spot price, and we expect it to drift lower over the next month," Macquarie's team said in a report.

A drop in the spot price came as magnetite producer Grange Resources secured a 107 per cent jump in the annual iron ore pellet benchmark price in a sales deal with BlueScope Steel.

Grange announced yesterday BlueScope would pay $US150 a tonne for iron ore pellets delivered from Grange's Port Latta facility in Tasmania during the quarter beginning on July 1.

Grange chief executive Russell Clark said in addition to agreeing an interim price, the miner was also discussing a new pricing mechanism with BlueScope.
Source: The Australian / Hellenic Shipping



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