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Wednesday, 19 May 10
DRY BULK FREIGHT RATES' RALLY MAY BE SET TO END
The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) has rallied these past couple of weeks, almost touching the 4,000 point mark. But this positive development for dry bulk ship owners could soon be coming to an end, according to market analysts. Yesterday, the BDI ended down by 40 points to 3,882, with the Capesize segment registering heavy losses, which brought the Baltic Capesize Index (BDI), once again almost on par with the smalle panamax market (4,513 points versus 4,504 points).
During the course of the previous week, Chinese ore and Asian coal demand remained particularly firm, thus pushing capesize rates up by 14% week-on-week. In the first two weeks of May, capesize rates rose by a rather impressive 29% or $11,320. Still, according to the latest weekly report by Commodore Research & Consultancy, "freight rates for all vessels may be poised to decrease moderately in the near-term, as dry bulk commodity prices have fallen across the board and Chinese stockpiles have increased.
Overall dry bulk cargo demand is still expected to remain robust during the summer, however, and the market will likely only experience a brief lull in spot chartering activity. 20 vessels were reportedly fixed to carry iron ore last week, 7 less than the previous week. After a brief lull in spot chartering activity, we expect cargo demand to rebound due to Northern Hemisphere peak summer coal demand and an increase in Chinese corn and soybean imports. We also expect Chinese steel production to remain firm throughout the summer" said the report.
It mentions that capesize rates may be poised to full further this week, as spot iron ore and Chinese steel prices begin to show weakness. "In addition, stockpiles of iron ore and thermal coal in China have begun to increase, which might put additional pressure on the entire dry bulk market in the near-term. Thermal coal demand in China and throughout much of Asia is expected to remain robust, however, as the Northern Hemisphere summer peak demand season results in greater electricity consumption. Asian and European steel production is also expected to maintain healthy levels, as the global economy continues to emerge from recession.
Only a brief lull in spot chartering activity is expected, and dry bulk commodity demand is expected to return to robust levels within a few weeks.
In the upcoming weeks, dry bulk freight rates will likely come under pressure due to the decline in dry bulk commodity prices coinciding with growing iron ore and thermal coal stockpiles.
After a temporary lull in spot chartering activity, dry bulk demand and freight rates will likely find renewed support due to various developments (including an expected surge in long-haul Chinese corn and soybean imports and steady Chinese coastal freight rates) which are discussed in the remainder of this report. Firm period chartering activity also suggests that the market expects dry bulk cargo demand to increase in a few weeks Dry bulk freight rates increased across the board last week - but spot chartering activity was relatively low and freight rates were moderately supported by robust levels of period chartering activity" Commodore said.
Chinese iron ore port stockpiles now total about 69.61 million tons, 1.26mt (2%) more than the previous week. Stockpiles have now increased for five consecutive weeks and are approaching this year's peak of 71.17mt, which was reached in early March.
At the same time, Indian iron ore fixtues decreased noticeably last week, continuing the trend of sporadic Indian ore fixture activity - resulting from the Indian government continuing to investigate and restrict illegal mining and railing of ore from Orissa.
The same amount of Brazilian and Australian iron ore fixtures were reported in market compared with the previous week. Going forward, Chinese iron ore demand might decline in the immediate shortterm due to rising ore stockpiles and declining steel prices.
After a possible brief pause in steady iron ore imports, Chinese demand is expected to return to firm levels. Indian ore fixtures will likely stay at low levels beginning in June when India's monsoon season begins. At that time, most of China's ore will come from Brazil and Australia, concluded the analysis.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Thursday, 03 December 09
PROLONGED COAL MARGIN SQUEEZE AHEAD - WESCOAL
Mining Weekly reported that, Coal junior Wescoal foresees a continued margin squeeze ahead. The JSE AltX-listed company's gross margin was reduced ...
Tuesday, 01 December 09
COAL DEMAND REBOUNDING FROM DOWNTURN - U.S. MINING EXECS
The coal industry is slowly rebounding from last year's recession with demand and prices inching upward, although inventories at U.S. power ...
Tuesday, 01 December 09
INDONESIA COAL OUTPUT SEEN LIFTED BY CHINA, INDIA
Reuters reported that, Indonesia's coal output is expected to grow by as much as 12 percent in 2010, boosted by demand from power hungry China and ...
Monday, 30 November 09
NTPC SCOUTS FOR MORE COAL BLOCKS IN INDONESIA
State-run National Thermal Power Corporation (NTPC) today said it has identified three more coal blocks in Indonesia for acquisition.
"We ha ...
Monday, 30 November 09
THE FUTURES FOR THREE YEARS (2010-2012) WAS SOFT COMPARED TO LAST WEEK - VISTAAR SINGAPORE
COALspot.com (Singapore): BDI continued to drop this week and touched below 4,000 mark level. The drop in BDI was almost 12 pct and closed at 3,975 ...
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- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- White Energy Company Limited
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Parliament of New Zealand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
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