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Tuesday, 04 May 10
DRY BULK MARKET SOFTENING AGAIN ON LACK OF DIRECTION
 The dry bulk market has put on the brakes once again, after the last session of the Baltic Dry Index ended at 3,354 points, down 5 from the previous day. The capesize segment lost 62 points to reach 3,936, while the smaller panamax market gained 9 points to reach 3,900. Still, the irregularity observed during the previous weeks, when a panamax vessel could command higher fees than a comparative capesize has been eradicated after last week’s rally.
Still, in just one week the cape market has regained most of the ground lost since mid March, with the BCI closing on Friday at 3,936 points (+698 or +21.6% week on week) said Barry Rogliano Salles in a latest report. “This surge has been achieved on the back of short tonnage lists in the Atlantic and a rush for fixing before the Chinese/ Japanese holidays. However, the enthusiasm went a little down on Friday’s little downward correction. There was some increased period activity for one year duration, done in the mid 30s level, up from the low 30s of the previous weeks” said the report.
Summarizing the latest developments affecting the dry bulk market, BRS said that the project supported by the Australian Government to raise a so-called “resource rent tax” has come as a shock for the iron ore miners. Apart from the immediate reaction of the stock exchanges towards mining shares, the miners themselves have warned authorities that this tax (if implemented) could freeze a big share of their development projects.
“Analysts already predict that this tax could prevent some M&A initiatives to go further and decide some foreign investors to revise their plans. At the same time in China the CISA has called for a tax cut on domestic mining and a development of local supply. On the iron ore market, most players seem to be bearish about price evolution and wait-and-see attitude prevails for the moment. Lack of clear direction has also been the case for dry bulk shipping markets where despite a rate hike for Capes over the last 5 trading days, the week ended on a softer note.
Rumors have started circulating about a merger project by Glencore with Xstrata (of which they already won 34%) which could rocket the group to the top of the world commodity players’ ranking. No comments have so far been obtained from the two groups but according to analysts this project could be a key part of Glencore wider restructuring plan” said the shipbroker.
Still, in a recent report by N.Cotzias Shipping Group, we had noted that capes could very well be in for a run. “The fundamentals tell us that the Steel demand in China that leads the Iron]Ore Demand/Supply “tug of war” is there strong, and although China has reduced its iron ore imports from India due to an increase in excise duty and low grade imports into the country, overall trade has picked up, causing BDI to remain steadily in the range of 3k.
The past 2-3 weeks we have seen the Chinese Iron/Ore importers with the backing of the CISA, to be playing a nerve racking tactical cold war game with the giant Miners and Iron/Ore exporters. We strongly believe it is time that the flow returns to the normal levels and this "artificial" scarcity and shortage in the demand that was triggered partly as a boycott threat, cum pressure, will be resolved soon.
It is not a common secret after IMF released last week the latest word growth figures, that China's GDP growth estimate for 2010 is in double figures of 10%, and recent trade figures show that the improrts of Iron/Ore will exceed in volume those of 2009 by 7%” reaffirmed the report.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Monday, 02 August 10
DRY BULK MARKET NEEDS TO FIND ADDITIONAL SUPPORT IN AUGUST
The dry bulk market ended another week of rebounding, posting on Friday its 11th straight rise. Still, as analysts point out the rate of this rise h ...
Monday, 02 August 10
LINC, ADANI COMPLETE THEIR COAL CONNECTION
"THE much-speculated deal between underground coal gasification company Linc Energy and India's Adani Enterprises is set to be signed tomorrow ...
Saturday, 31 July 10
TABONEO ANCHORAGE TO LOAD 1.5 MLN TON OR MORE COAL IN H1 AUGUST
COALspot.com: Eighty five ocean going vessels and barges have been nominated by coal buyers to their respective suppliers in Indonesia to load about ...
Saturday, 31 July 10
SEEMS THE FREIGHT MARKET WOULD BE FAIRLY STABLE FOR H2 2010 - VISTAAR
COALspot.com: The BDI continued moving up since 16th July and rise by 14 pct almost touching 2000 points.
The BDI was up by 7.72 pct last week wh ...
Friday, 30 July 10
DRY BULK MARKET BACK ON THE ROAD TO RECOVERY
Freight rates for dry bulk carriers have continued to edge higher this week, with the industry’s main benchmark, the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) ga ...
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