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Wednesday, 28 April 10
DRY BULK MARKET
After a prolonged period of anticipation and a stalled dry bulk market in terms of freight rates, the industry’s benchmark, the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) rose yesterday by more than 6% on a daily basis to 3,203 points, with analysts unanimous that stronger iron ore demand from China was the key reason. The BDI now stands at its highest level in more than one month, while reports said yesterday that smaller Chinese steel mills began buying iron ore at quarterly prices agreed by Japan and South Korea, in a move that effectively ends the old benchmark system.
In its weekly report, shipbroker BRS (Barry Rogliano Salles) said that South Africa’s Richards Bay terminal confirmed a sharp rise in Asian exports, which rose to 42% of total shipments in the first quarter of this year, up from 25% a year earlier – due mainly to Chinese and Indian demand.
In Europe, Thyssenkrupp became the first European buyer to confirm it had agreed an iron ore price on a quarterly basis. In line with the Japanese contracts, it also reported a 100% price increase, back-dated to April 1. Commenting on the capesize market prospects, BRS said that the market will continue to watch what impact the new, higher commodity prices will have on demand.
According to brokers quoted by Reuters, high congestion at Brazilian ports had also helped drive rates higher, especially for the larger capesize ships. They added that freight derivatives contract buying had added to the positive momentum. Andrew Dawson, a broker with Freight Investor Services was quoted by the agency saying that "it seems to be a combination of a lack of vessels in the Atlantic and also increased demand from the Chinese. It's iron ore that has driven this push." As a result, capesize vessels, typically the main haulers of iron ore were the principal gainers from yesterday’s upward push in the market. Average earnings rose to $35,109, according to the Baltic Exchange.
In a separate report, JP Morgan Chase & Co. raised its previous estimates on global demand for dry bulk commodities, saying that it will expand by 6 percent in 2010, versus its previous forecast of 3.7 percent. On a similar note, JP Morgan said that it expects iron ore trade growth to reach 11.2%, from an earlier prediction of 5.7%, while coal demand will expand by 5.7%, up from the previous estimate of 3.8%. In other words, the investment bank almost doubled its estimates on global dry bulk trade growth, in what could be translated as a pretty strong sign of the industry’s ability to leap out from the crisis and also face with very increased chances the issue of tonnage oversupply.
On that matter, JP Morgan commented that the increased trade will coincide with half the ships that are scheduled to be built this year being delayed or cancelled, as yards in Asia fail to deliver a record order book on time. “We do not believe that it is even physically possible for the shipyards to meet this robust schedule, with or without financing concerns,” said the report, quoted by Bloomberg.
JPMorgan increased its forecasts for what ships will earn as a result by as much as 33 percent. Panamax ships, the largest to sail through the Panama Canal, will average $21,200 a day this year, up from a previous forecast of $16,000, JPMorgan said. Rates for capesizes, were revised up 3.1 percent to $33,000 a day; supramaxes were increased 22 percent to $17,100 a day, and handymaxes will make $14,700, compared with a prior estimate of $12,000, it said.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Monday, 14 September 09
BOOM FORECAST FOR COAL OUTPUT
SMH.com reported that, A COAL investment boom is driving Australian production to new peaks even as our biggest export markets shift towards cleaner ...
Sunday, 13 September 09
COAL INDIA MAY ACQUIRE ASSETS OF RIO TINTO
Coal India’s plan to acquire overseas mining assets is gathering steam. After a breakthrough in Mozambique, the coal behemoth has received&nbs ...
Saturday, 12 September 09
THE INDIA / FAR EAST SEEMS WILL CONTINUE TO BE SOFT UNTIL THE IRON ORE MOVEMENTS PICKS UP - CAPT. REDDY
COALspot.com (Singapore): The dry bulk market continued to be stable at almost as same levels as last week and the BDI was at 2,468 points.
...
Saturday, 12 September 09
GOVT REQUESTS MORE TIME TO ACQUIRE 21% SHARES IN NNT
The Jakarta Post reported that, the government plans to request a postponement for the acquisition of 21 percent shares in PT Newmont Nusa Tenggara ...
Saturday, 12 September 09
INDONESIAN CO KEEN ON TRADING COAL FOR EQUITY IN POWER PROJECTS
Though most large power project promoters have their own mines in Indonesia, MEC is confident of convincing Indian companies as its price is quite a ...
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- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
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- Eastern Energy - Thailand
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- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
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- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
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- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
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- Central Java Power - Indonesia
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- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
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- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
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- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
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- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
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- India Bulls Power Limited - India
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- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
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- CNBM International Corporation - China
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- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
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- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
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- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
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- The University of Queensland
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- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
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- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
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- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
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- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
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- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
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- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
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