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Monday, 19 April 10
IS CHINA TO SUFFER NEW COAL SUPPLY SHORTAGE IN 2010? - XINHUA
Is China likely to suffer a new coal supply shortage in 2010? It's a question haunting many Chinese market analysts now. After a string of several coalmine accidents in the past month, China has launched a nationwide check on coalmine safety. Meanwhile, severe drought in southwest China has directly led to a jump in thermal power demand. Theses have aroused a market concern on a possible coal supply shortage in China in 2010.
Henan province, a major coal production base in China, has stated the coal consolidations, and how many small coalmines will be shut down has become a crucial factor determining whether China will suffer a new coal supply shortage in 2010.
-- Safety check to postpone production resumption of small coalmines in Shanxi
Shanxi province has decided to launch a three-month safety check on an internal conference on March 31 in a wake of consecutive coal accidents in March, Official with Shanxi Coal Industry Office said that the safety check in Shanxi province would mainly focus on the legality and safety system of coalmines under construction.
Following that, the State Administration of Work Safety and the State Administration of Coal Mine Safety jointly made an emergency notice on extending the safety check from Shanxi province to nationwide.
Huang Yi, vice director of the State Administration of Work Safety estimated that the check would involve more than 7000 coalmines and 1.5-billion coal production capacity.
The official with Shanxi Coal Industry Office noted that the safety check would postpone the operation of newly built large coalmines and the production resumption of the small coalmines after the coal consolidation in the second largest coal producing province in China, but would not trigger an extensive suspension of production as in 2008, said the official.
Small coalmines in Shanxi were asked to suspend production in all-round way for rectification in 2008 due to a string of coalmine accidents, and before resuming production, they were acquired and merged by large coalmines compulsorily in accordance with Shanxi?s coal consolidation plan launched at the beginning 2009.
Senior manager with sales branch of Shanxi Coking Coal Group said that about 70-million-tonne coal production capacity of small coalmines, which have been acquired by Shanxi Coking Coal Group which produced 80.79 million tonnes of coal in 2009, is scheduled to be released at the end of 2010. But the production resumption is likely to be further postponed on current circumstance.
The senior manager predicted that coal enterprises would not blindly raise coal output and therefore the expected output growth may lower.
According analyst Liu Fei with Guodu Securities, there are about 400 million tonnes/year of coal production capacity under construction in Shanxi province.
In the first two month of 2010, nearly 10 million tonnes of newly added coal output capacity has gone into operation, but the recent coal accidents would delay the operation of other newly added output capacity.
The State Council has claimed that the safety check would involve all sectors in China. The Ministry of Railways has initiated a two-month safety check since Apr. 5, and Datong-Qinhuangdao Railway, a key coal transportation channel, has also entered a one-month maintenance, which is enormously affecting the coal supply.
Although the safety check will affect the coal output in Shanxi in short term, the province still seems quite confident in fulfilling its target of producing 670-700 million tonnes of coal in 2010 and has shown no intention to revise the target.
In 2009, coal output in Shanxi province amounted to about 620 million tonnes on shutdown of small coalmines, down 30 million tonnes on year. However, the coal consolidations in Shanxi has come to an end, which would great enhance Shanxi's output capacity, and a large amount of newly formed production capacity would enter into operation this year in spite of the three-month safety check. Therefore, coal supply from Shanxi province would remain stable or even rise in 2010.
-- Southwest drought calls for greater thermal power demand
In March, power supply shortage in Yunnan, Guizhou and Guangxi provinces exceeded 5 million kilowatts, which would have to be fed by thermal power generation.
The lasting severe drought in southwest China since the Chinese Lunar New Year in February has led to a dramatic decline in hydropower generation, which only took up 12 percent of national power supply in the first two months of 2010, down 9 percentage points on year.
Many southern China provinces with hydraulic power as main power source are facing electricity supply shortage.
According to Guizhou provincial government, Guizhou province has an electricity shortage of 3 million kilowatt hours. Water storage of reservoir in Guizhou has declined to the bottom level in history, down by 30 percent on year, which decreased the daily hydropower generation from 90 million kilowatt hours to 60 million kilowatt hours.
The situation in Yunnan province is even worse, with the electricity shortage topping 4 billion kilowatt hours. Since water resource plunged by 30-40 percent on year, less than 30 percent of total installed capacity of major hydropower stations is operational. Affected by the electricity shortage, upstream sectors like ferrous metals industry in Yunnan and Guangxi have fully or partly suspended production.
About 17.6 percent industrial enterprises in Yunnan province have been severely affected.
GF Securities forecast that the power supply shortage may push up the demand for power coal by at least 4-5 percent for the whole year of 2010.
According to statistics released by China Electricity Council (CEC) in February, power coal consumption stood at 1.56 billion tonnes in 2009, and CEC predicted that China's power coal demand would remain high in 2010 at about 1.66 billion tonnes
Chen Liang, analyst with GF Securities holds China may face a new coal supply shortage in 2010 on similar condition in 2008.
But some other experts are not as pessimistic as Chen Liang, and they believe overall coal supply would keep balance in 2010 despite of regional tight supply in the peak seasons in summer and winter. Now Henan province, one of China?s major coal production bases, becomes the biggest variable affecting the balance between coal supply and demand in China.
-- Small coalmine M&A in Henan to affect national coal supply in 2010
Henan Province announced a plan on coal enterprises merger, acquisition and reorganization in March. According to a document issued by the provincial government, major coal enterprises are expected to hold over 85 percent of total coal resources in the province at the end of 2010, but it remain unclear that how many small coalmines will be shut down.
Henan planned to control its coal output at 150 million tonnes in 2010, down 80 million tonnes from 230 million tonnes in 2009.
Under such a circumstance of tight balance, a reduction of 80 million tonnes in coal output would give a heavy blow to the marketm said Chen Liang, the GF Securities analyst.
However, market observers generally doubted about the production reduction target and they hoped that the target is a upper limit.
Chen Dangyi, vice director with Department of Industry and Information Technology of Henan province, said that although the Henan has carried out guiding opinion on the coal consolidation, but detailed plan is still being formulated. It's unpredictable how much Henan's coal output would be affected by the coal consolidation.
Small coalmines, which account for nearly one third of national coal output, are blamed for about 70 percent coal accidents in China. Therefore, China will have to make greater effort in consolidating small coalmine in a bid to reduce accidents.
Source: Xinhua
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Friday, 16 April 10
RBCT COAL DISPUTE RESOLVED - MININGMX
Miningmx reported that, the long-simmering spat over the coal allocation for producers who will use the expanded facilities at Richards Bay Coal Ter ...
Friday, 16 April 10
COAL INDIA SELECTS MERCHANT BANKERS TO ACQUIRE OVERSEAS ASSETS -THE HINDU
An investment of about $1.8 billion is expected to be made in these deals
The Hindu reported that, Bank of America-Merill Lynch, Royal Bank of Sc ...
Thursday, 15 April 10
MAJOR THERMAL COAL CONTRACT AT 40% HIGHER PRICE THAN LAST YEAR - BUSINESS STANDARD
Business-Standard reported that, India is expected to import nearly 60 million tonnes of thermal coal this year.
After coking coal and iron ...
Thursday, 15 April 10
RICHARDS BAY ROUNDS BACK TO INDIA SUPRAS WERE FIXED AT MID 20'S
Handy
The BSI remains in a positive momentum and the Atlantic remains unchanged from last week. Fronthaul grain is active which is keeping ballast ...
Thursday, 15 April 10
DRY BULK MARKET SLOWLY GAINING GROUND
The troubled and underperforming capesize sector of the dry bulk market has been experiencing an improved sentiment since Tuesday, a trend verified ...
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- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- White Energy Company Limited
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- The University of Queensland
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- PTC India Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Australian Coal Association
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
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