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Wednesday, 25 December 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
IntermodalAs another year in the shipping industry is coming to an end, it is interesting to look at the dry bulk and tanker markets and how these performed in 2019. 
 
In the tanker sector, 2019 is undoubtedly closing positively when compared to the previous two years. VLCC time charter earnings during October reached around $100,000/day, a level that has been sustained up until today. The one-year period was even quoted at $55,000/day at one point during the last quarter, which was an impressive increase of more than 40% compared to January 2019 levels. The United States sanctions against Iran, Venezuela and eventually  vessels calling these ports seemed to have supported rates as a significant amount of tonnage was blacklisted and there unable to trade as before.  
 
Apart from the sanctions, upcoming regulations have also given support to earnings in the sector. Indeed, during the second half of the year a big part of the fleet was in drydock for scrubber retrofitting purposes decreasing the tonnage available for trading as a result. Sanctions and retrofits together with seasonality created the perfect blend for the tanker market that is enjoying very firm levels up until today.  
 
With regards to secondhand prices and following the increase on freight rates, asset values across all sizes and ages also increased. Lastly, as far as SnP transactions are concerned, the increase in MR sales is definitely worth mentioning, with year to date figures showing a 43% increase as owners seemed to be placing more and more confidence to this size as the year progressed. 
 
Focusing on the dry bulk industry, it was a year with many ups and downs. After a very disappointing first half we witnessed a rally on freight rates that started as soon as July kicked off, with rates especially for Capes seeming unstoppable and reaching even five-year highs in some cases. The start of September marked the pick of the BDI for the year, with notable decreases having taken place since then. 
 
Going forward and taking into consideration the change of regulations it seems to be very difficult to foresee any market reaction until February 2020. As far as SnP prices are concerned values have been softening especially for vessels older than 10 years old, while on the newbuilding front values have also been correcting downwards given the distinct lack of interest for dry bulk orders this year. 
 
All in all, next year is expected to be a landmark year for the industry and undoubtedly everyone involved in shipping is eager to see what happens. We wish Happy New Year to everyone.

By George Panagopoulos
Research Analyst
 
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations


Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima

Mr.George Panagopoulos


Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
 
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