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Wednesday, 09 October 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
IntermodalAs we have already stated in previous insights, we had expected that the recovery on rates and activity across all segments in the offshore market during the past year, would continue throughout the year.
 
This is supported from the oil price, which during the past month has been trading at levels steadily above $55/barrel and having reached higher levels during the year. This is in contrast to past years, when oil prices were ranging between $43-$46/barrel, and even lower during the period 2015-2016, when oil price was less than $30/barrel with most notable the historical low of $22.48/barrel.
 
Back then we were arguing that with oil prices being low it was almost impossible for big oil producers to look at the possibility of investing in a new project or to implement their planned projects from previous years.
 
As we already know, this created a big agitation in the market. They were very few projects and a plethora of offshore units and oil rigs. Besides that, plenty of companies/providers of support units or drilling rigs at the specific period had financial issues or even reached the point of bankruptcy. 
 
Many factors have played a role in order for us to reach the point of currently discussing a slow but steady recovery on the market of Drilling & Offshore Support Vessel (OSV). Firstly, the fact that member countries of OPEC agreed to cut oil production until March 2020 in order to increase oil price and demand, which will create desirable conditions for new projects.
 
The mood of Offshore owners either to lower their OPEX or layup a number of their vessels or alternatively send them for demolition despite being so young, with the purpose of decreasing over-capacity in the market. Another important factor was the appetite of some companies to invest time and money in new technological innovations with lower OPEX and environmentally friendly features that would assist in the implementation of the upcoming projects.  
 
Despite recent news, like the tensions in the Persian Gulf, that may slowdown the return to healthier margins in the Offshore industry and create uncertainty, it is estimated that Drilling activity will continue to witness a positive annual growth in the upcoming years, as long as the oil price stablilises around $60/barrel and the cost of developing Offshore Oil & Gas declines significantly. Something similar is expected to happen in the Offshore Support Vessels (OSV), which is expected to exhibit further growth on the activity and rates in the next years based on the rise of  Deepwater development activities. 
By Panos Makrinos
Offshore Director
 
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations


Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima

Mr.George Panagopoulos


Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.

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