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Wednesday, 24 July 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
IntermodalTonnes of ink has been spent analysing the rebound of the dry bulk market the last weeks with the most representative example being the rising performance of Capes which, coming from a historical low, managed to reach a five and a half year high within a 3 month period, with the rest of the sizes following the same path, thus creating a positive sentiment. With regards to the SnP, buying interest is stronger than the first quarter of 2019, with the number of transactions having correspondingly increased and SnP values displaying a soft upward trend without excluding the scenario for a bullish increase on values; even if this were to happen during the traditionally quieter August. While the majority of Greek Ship-owners are focusing their attention on the lists of vessels that are available for sale that are younger than 15 years old. It is therefore our opinion that, provided that the dry bulk market continues at these healthier levels, this will automatically increase the chance for older vessels to get sold. This will in turn create the necessary conditions for a possible re-investment, either by renewing fleets with younger vessels or by  investing into a different segment.
 
Regarding Handysize bulkers, from the 52 vessels that were built prior to 2000, the majority of them were bought after 2010, with most of the sales being recorded around 2016 when asset values were at historical lows, making it an easy option to sell.  With regards to post 2000 Handies, the majority of them are vessels of 28,000 dwt and with the current value for a Japanese built 2003-2004, which is around low-mid $5.0m and for vessels 2013 built at around low-mid $8.0m, the conditions are looking favourable for a possible fleet renewal. Handymaxes – with an increased concentration of pre-2000 built vessels, will, due to the sheer number of vessels as well as their age, be form a large pool of sale candidates for the near future. 
 
On the post 2000 Handymaxes, the competition and the pressure from bigger Supras of similar age on the chartering front, could be a critical factor in the decision of selling. On Supras and Panamaxes – with most of the owners possessing a company with a fleet of more than 3-4 vessels, the driving force in a potential fleet renewal will be the strategic approach from owners to renew the age of their existing fleet . On Capes – it is important to note that 1/3 of the vessels are newbuilding deliveries placed by the same owners, who have traded these vessels for over 15 years – including the golden years of the dry market- which points to self-evident inferences. 
 
All in all, we expect the Greek market to become an important hub for vessels available for sale in the short run, especially in the age limits that were analysed above, without anyone objecting to the possibility of the continuous increase on freight rates becoming a prohibiting factor for ship owners to sell.
By Nassos Soulakis
SnP Broker

Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations


Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima

Mr.George Panagopoulos


Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.

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