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Wednesday, 05 June 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
IntermodalThe first semester of 2019 started as a fairly positive semester for the offshore sector whilst there was a recovery on crude prices, as well as a supply chain expansion from companies involved in exploration and production and modest activity levels.
 
With oil prices mainly ranging between $65-$70/barrel throughout the bigger part of the first quarter, refinery capacity additions in major regions have been the key drivers contributing to the recovery of the sector.
Even though spending levels were retained quite low after the 2014 industry recession, some companies had the advantage to invest, prompted by stronger prices during this year. Saudi Aramco, will be this year’s biggest spender as the company is expected to invest over $18 billion for the Marjan and Berri expansion projects, while ExxonMobil has $15 billion of offshore work approval.
 
Another sign that might be indicating that the offshore industry is recovering is the floater rig count which is finally moving upwards counting around 120 contracted rigs against 115 during last year. Diamond offshore, Seadrill and Transocean are some of the owners with the highest number of contracted years operating out of Latin America and the Gulf of Mexico.
Additionally the US Gulf Of Mexico lease sale drew the attention of operations whose total bids exceeded $110 million, making it the highest total bid of the past two years compared to previous lease sales, Lease 249 and Lease 250, the bids of which had reached $28 million and $38 million respectively.
 
The European market has also seen more activity in terms of investments, following almost four years of consecutive declines in interest, while the improved environment in the UK and Norway have been mainly the ones helping this positive turnaround.
 
Additionally, a rapid rise in subsea tree installations is projected for the global offshore industry in the coming years. According to Rystad Energy; “As the oil price has recovered since 2016, the subsea market has shown clear signs of improvement. Subsea tree installations can be seen as a main driver for this growth. We expect a substantial increase in demand in coming years.”
 
The market of Offshore Supply Vessels (OSV) is also facing a growth of up to 10%, which will give a nice breather to what has been a depressed environment as this segment mainly depends on the maintenance/needs and supply operations of existing platforms.   
 
Last year, we noticed that offshore projects increased by more than 20%, which was a very positive sign compared to the 2014-2016 period when most companies had to postpone or even cancel their planned projects as the oil price per barrel was well below $6. 2019 has kicked off positively and although oil prices have corrected downwards lately, we do expect this to be another improved year as support for oil prices by OPEC and other major producers is expected to resume.

By Panos Makrinos
Offshore Director

Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations


Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima

George Panagopoulos


Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.

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