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Wednesday, 22 May 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
IntermodalThe ship repair sector is showing a constant and gradual increase on the workload throughout the past months, with almost all the shipyards worldwide having already reached close to their maximum capacity as we are heading towards the end of the first half of the year. It goes without saying that this is mainly due to the already prescribed scrubber retrofit demand, while the peak of these deliveries from most of the scrubber manufacturers is starting this May onwards.
A lot of difficulties are expected to be encountered from the shipyards into delivering the scrubber retrofit projects on time given the expected workmanship and considering the big spectrum of uncertainties and complications. One of these uncertainties is the usually late delivery of most of the spare parts, i.e. equipment, cabling, exotic piping, sensors, big valves etc. which in most of the projects coincides with the critical step of the retrofit. 
 
On top of the above there is also a chance of getting extra delays on other aspects such as the design engineering, the class approval the logistics as well as custom formalities. Moving forward, the ETA of most vessels is slightly slipping forward in order to cover these various delays, which is in turn creating a bottleneck in the yards that will require extra attention and forward planning from the shipyards as far as the summer months are concerned. Finally, some shipyards with a relatively big appetite have committed to accept more scrubber retrofits than they can actually accommodate, which will most probably result in additional delays. As a counter measure to withstand the overbooking, certain shipyards have leased floating cranes and extra manpower with a premium cost.
 
Reviewing the above situation, pricing levels for routine drydocks has become much less attractive compared to six months ago, while first class shipyards are not interested in small projects despite the price benefit. This has given a lot of space for second class shipyards to penetrate to new clientele and in some cases to deliver better than expected results.
 
Looking forward to the so called coming ‘Shipyard’s Era’ during which shipyards will benefit from the whole repair jam, there are speculations for a second wave of scrubbers shortly after the beginning of 2020, when the price spread between the low and high Sulphur fuel oil will be clearly defined and will reignite the scrubber retrofit interest of some companies currently standing by.
 
With regards to last week’s MEPC74 Committee, the topics that were covered were rather expected and without any surprises. The IMO has completed a list of guidelines aimed at ensuring consistent enforcement of the global sulfur cap, covering areas such as Post State control guidelines, fuel sampling onboard the ship, ongoing compliance in case of failure EGCS and delivery of compliant fuel by suppliers. An interesting part of the meeting was that in regards to GHG emission reduction, which the IMO agreed to keep on the table, although there is no actual progress so far, while speed reduction and speed optimization will considered in one of the three agendas to be worked on further at the next session.
By Vassilis Vassiliou
Ship-repair Broker

Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations


Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima

George Panagopoulos


Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.

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