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Wednesday, 06 March 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INERMODAL
In a downward moving market, softer SnP activity is usually a given, as the gap between Sellers’ and Buyers’ ideas widens, especially when the drop in rates takes place in a relatively short period of times, which was the case recently. Aside from the levels of the market and the respective number of deals as this is depicted in the table below, what might be even more interesting to look at is whether in these cases asset prices also moved in tandem with SnP activity and to what degree.
In the case of the 28kdwt Japanese Handy, the number of sales during the first two months of 2017 was more than double compared to the same period this year. Two years ago a 2006 built vessel was valued at high USD 5 million, while the same amount of money will today get you a 2004 built vessel –four years older – even though the BHSI is around the same levels.
As far as Supramax SnP ytd activity is concerned, this is decreased around 30% compared to 2017, while prices are today at relatively higher levels. Indeed, a 57k dwt 2011 Chinese built vessel was valued at around mid- USD 9 million back then, while a 57k dwt 2011 Chinese built Supra was fixed today for high- USD 9 million.
The fact that a very bad year preceded Q1 2017 certainly allowed for more deals back then, with Buyers being hungry for tonnage, after the market had finally started to move up, and Sellers being “exhausted” following many challenging months and ready to accept lower levels. In trying to offer an explanation for the price resistance one could say that Buyers could be already cashing in an extended recovery in rates (after all earnings have already been improving for all other sizes but Capes), which renders them more aggressive in securing tonnage in a market that had already seen a number of candidates being withdrawn.
So the anxiety that this could be a window of opportunity to invest that could be soon closing as the market recovers plays a significant role in supporting asset prices. Many are indeed expecting that prices will not adjust accordingly to today’s rates and that positive freight performance from a point onwards will eventually result in even higher prices, which in retrospect will render todays levels as the window of opportunity. So maybe it is time to redefine what “window of opportunity” means and whether this is a short term correction in prices compared to the very recent past or a longer period during which asset prices align with earnings.
By Nassos Soulakis
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 22 March 24
CASE STUDY: DANGERS OF COAL CARGO - SKULD
Recently, a bulk cargo vessel carrying coal from South Africa to Singapore suffered a fatal accident, resulting in the deaths of three crew members ...
Friday, 22 March 24
INDONESIA APPROVES 922.14 MLN T COAL PRODUCTION QUOTA FOR 2024, ABOVE TARGET - REUTERS
Indonesia has approved coal production quotas totalling 922.14 million metric tons for 2024, Bambang Suswantono, a senior official at the mining mi ...
Friday, 22 March 24
CHINA COAL INDUSTRY GROUP EXPECTS OUTPUT GROWTH TO SLOW IN 2024 - REUTERS
China’s coal output is expected to increase 36 million metric tons, or 0.8%, to about 4.7 billion tonnes in 2024, a Chinese coal industry gro ...
Monday, 18 March 24
THREE KEY TAKEAWAYS FROM OUR EUROPE GAS MARKETS SHORT-TERM OUTLOOK Q1 2024 - WOOD MACKENZIE
European gas prices are currently back to pre-crisis levels, but with a complex series of factors affecting future supply and demand, are they set ...
Wednesday, 06 March 24
INDONESIA AIMS TO FINISH MINING OUTPUT QUOTAS APPROVAL BY END-MARCH, OFFICIAL SAYS - REUTERS
Indonesia’s has approved the mining production quotarequests from more than 120mineral companies and aims to complete the approval process th ...
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- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Planning Commission, India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Australian Coal Association
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
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