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  • KOMIPO INVITES BIDS FOR 260,000 MT OF MIN. 5700 KCAL/KG NAR COLOMBIAN COAL FEB-MAR 2020 LOADING. BID SUBMISSION ON OR BEFORE 1400 HRS ON NOVEMBER 22, 2019 (KST)
  • EIA FORECASTS THAT U.S. COAL PRODUCTION IN 2020 WILL TOTAL 607 MMST APPROXIMATELY 19.70% DECRESAE FROM THE 2018 LEVEL
  • EIA EXPECTS TOTAL U.S. COAL PRODUCTION IN 2019 TO TOTAL 698 MILLION SHORT TONS (MMST), AN 8% DECREASE FROM THE 2018 LEVEL OF 756 MMST
  • EIA EXPECTS U.S. STEAM COAL EXPORTS TO FACE INCREASING COMPETITION FROM EASTERN EUROPEAN SOURCES, AND THAT RUSSIA WILL FILL A GROWING SHARE OF STEAM COAL TRADE, CAUSING U.S. COAL EXPORTS TO FALL IN 2020
  • NOV 2019 INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE FOR EXPORTS AND DOMESTIC BUYERS INCLUDING POWER PRODUCERS FIXED AT US$ 66.27 A TON
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Wednesday, 18 July 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - VASILIS MOIRIS
IntermodalThe new regulations for Chinese flag restricting import of Tier I ships have dominated market sentiment during the past days as buyers have been trying to secure vessels with very prompt delivery (by end of July). 
 
We have seen a number of reported deals not going through in the end due to buyers’ uncertainty in regards to whether it is feasible to register the vessels within time. Indeed, as we get closer to the effective date of September 1st and the deadline becomes tighter, it appears unlikely to see more activity coming from this type of buyers. These developments have had an impact in the second hand S&P market as ocean going buyers are taking a stand still to monitor the impact in vessels’ values. 
 
Nonetheless, there are still buyers willing to invest in modern vessels where the Chinese have not been active. Most interest is drawn into the Supramax-Ultramax sectors where we have been seeing the majority of the activity. 
 
Most notably, Greek owners are reported to be the ones buying the freshly drydocked “NAVIOS ARMONIA” (55,522dwt-blt ’08 Kawasaki) at levels in excess of USD 14 million, which shows some robustness in asset values. Additionally, USA buyers are reported to have bought the Dolphin 64 “BAO TONG” (63,800dwt-blt ’14 Chengxi) at USD 21.3 million, a price pretty much in line with recent activity in the sector.
 
The situation on the tanker side is still somewhat different from the dry sector. Rates remain close to historically low levels in some cases, with the effect on asset values being evident. Buyers are seizing the opportunity to buy modern ships at the current lows with a view to benefit from any freight rate increase in the future that will also give a boost to prices as a result. 
 
Iraqi buyers AISSOT are reported to be paying USD 88 million for each of the BW’s 2018 Samsung VLCC resales with hull numbers 2229 & 2230. The Japanese controlled VLCC “BRIGHT HARMONY” (309,774dwt-blt ’09 Imabari) is understood to have been sold at USD 41.5 million to Greek buyers.
 
As we are getting closer to the peak of the summer season and in view of the above developments, it will be interesting to see how buyers will react. In the dry bulk sector the different indices seem to be stabilizing and slowly gaining momentum as we are seeing more and more grain exports coming out of Brazil as a result of the trade war between USA and China. USA grain prices are at the same time falling day by day as the largest importer China - up till now at least - has not been buying, prompting others to seize this opportunity. 
 
As far as tankers are concerned, despite the fact that rates remain flat for now, we expect any modern tonnage coming for sale to get sold without too much difficulty as a number of buyers seem keen to invest in today’s low values.

By Vasilis Moiris
SnP Broker

Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations

Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima

Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.

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