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Wednesday, 25 October 17
SHIPPING MARKET REPORT - INTERMODAL
IntermodalWhile the majority of perspective Buyers in the dry bulk second-hand market is currently focusing on modern tonnage, there is also increased activity for older vessels built in the ‘90s. From a Greek ship owner’s perspective, them being most often sellers of such tonnage rather than buyers or even if the time they owned vintage tonnage has long passed, looking into this age segment remains interesting.

The pool of vessels older than 20 years is still considerable against the entire fleet in each size segment and bear in mind that this pool will be the main source of demo candidates in the near future. A representative example of that is the Handy size segment, where vessels above 20 years will be around 16% of the size next year. With the upcoming regulations scheduled to come into force until 2019, these vessels will most have to exit the market, with a rather small chance of very strong freight rates at the time allowing the retrofitting cost.

As a considerable amount of this tonnage is still controlled by Greeks, one cannot help but wonder whether the sale of these vessels alongside with the renewal of the perspective fleets is a strategic decision that should be made at this stage. Since the beginning of the year Greek owners have been behind the sale of around 20 vessels built in the ‘90s, with most of them being Handy size and Handymax vessels. We believe that given the Greek percentage of ownerships of such tonnage, there is room for further sales down the line and reinforcement of this trend.

With the exception of very few cases of Greeks who are intrigued by the very attractive prices against current employment levels or those who are newcomers to the dry bulk market, usually scaling up from the general cargo range, we could say that most of the 90s built tonnage buyers are Chinese, Middle Eastern, selective few from the subcontinent, Turkish, Russian and Ukrainians.

In regards to prices, for a 45kdwt Japanese Handymax, ’95 blt someone would set as a price goal at region $4.0m – low $4.0m, with prices adjusting respectively at mid $4.0m – high $4.0m for a ’96 blt, region $5.0m – low $5.0 for a ’97 blt, mid $5.0m for a ’98 blt (SS due 2018) and  excess $6.0m for a 99-blt. Respectively, a 70kdwt Japanese Panamax a price goal for a ’95 blt vessels would be high $4.0 up to $5.0m, excess  $5.5m for a ’96 blt, high $5.0 up to $6.0m for a ’97 blt, low-mid $6.0m for a ’98 blt (SS due 2018) and  mid $7.0m for a 99-blt.

To conclude, this trend of Greek owners selling older vessels is certainly positive, since most of this tonnage usually ends up in the local market of the respective new owner, effectively reducing tonnage trading internationally, while at the same time the age profile of Greek controlled fleet is getting younger becoming more competitive in international trading.

By Nassos Soulakis
SnP Broker
 
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations


Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima


Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.

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