We welcome article submissions from experts in the areas of coal, mining,
shipping, etc.
To Submit your article please click here.
|
|
Monday, 25 September 17
CHOICES FOR SHIPPING AS 2020 APPROACHES? - CLARKSONS
Historically, the fuel of choice for the vast majority of large cargo ships has been heavy fuel oil. But in 2020, sulphur oxide emissions will be capped to 0.5% by IMO convention, ruling out current standard grades of HFO. Both fuel consumers in the shipping industry and producers in the refining industry have now had a little time to consider the potential options to deal with the imminent regulatory change…
SOx Appeal
Nearly a year on from the confirmation that the IMO would proceed with the 2020 global sulphur cap, there is still little certainty as to how shipping market players will react. There are options: either the demand side reacts, and owners fit SOx scrubbers, or investigate alternative fuels, or the supply side (i.e. the refining industry) finds a way to supply low sulphur compliant fuels.
So far, there appears limited take-up of scrubbers by owners (232 vessels recorded). Capex estimates for retrofits range from $1-8m, and until January 2020, such costs represent expenditure with no economic benefits outside ECAs. Similarly, potential LNG fuel retrofits may be complex, expensive and limit refuelling options. Only 369 ships are recorded as LNG fuel capable, 70% of which are LNG carriers; another 263 are on order.
Refining Marine Fuel Demand
Refining Marine Fuel Demand
Most bunkers (circa 80%) are heavy fuel oil. Roughly 5m bpd, or 45% of world fuel oil output, ends up as marine bunkers. In general, refineries are designed to produce as little fuel oil as possible, and may use cracking/coking units to achieve this. But much of what is produced ends up as bunkers: shipping consumes a lot of the least-valued fraction (for example, a 14,000 TEU containership, spending 70% of its time at sea at 18 knots, might burn more than 23,000t of HFO per annum).
The choice for ECAs has been gasoil (MGO) to achieve 0.1% sulphur, and 5% of gas oil production ends up as bunkers. However, gas oil, kerosene and gasoline are priced higher because they have uses as land/air transportation fuels. It is unlikely that come 2020, there would be sufficient volumes available of gasoil to fuel the global shipping industry. At a time of weak prices, oil companies are cutting both up and downstream capex, and appear to have little incentive to build new infrastructure to desulphurise fuel oil. Even if new refinery investment was made, refiners would be likely to prioritise additional gasoline production.
Distilling The Issue Down
So, it seems unlikely that there will suddenly be large amounts of new 0.1% LSFO produced by refineries, nor enough distillates available for ships to run on MGO. Diverting additional gasoil to shipping would imply the payment of similar prices as onshore uses. Hence, the most likely outcome is that low sulphur compliant fuels will be achieved by blending a partial amount of gas oil into HFO, to reduce it below 0.5% sulphur content.
So, it is still not fully clear what the state of play will be in 2020. For both bunker suppliers and owners, investment with over two years to go may be hard to justify, but an unprepared industry in 2020 might be exposed to price spikes. It may well be that a mixture of solutions initially prevails, at least until a consensus emerges over the most economic solution. Have a nice day.
Source: Clarksons
If you believe an article violates your rights or the rights of others, please contact us.
|
Friday, 22 March 24
CASE STUDY: DANGERS OF COAL CARGO - SKULD
Recently, a bulk cargo vessel carrying coal from South Africa to Singapore suffered a fatal accident, resulting in the deaths of three crew members ...
Friday, 22 March 24
INDONESIA APPROVES 922.14 MLN T COAL PRODUCTION QUOTA FOR 2024, ABOVE TARGET - REUTERS
Indonesia has approved coal production quotas totalling 922.14 million metric tons for 2024, Bambang Suswantono, a senior official at the mining mi ...
Friday, 22 March 24
CHINA COAL INDUSTRY GROUP EXPECTS OUTPUT GROWTH TO SLOW IN 2024 - REUTERS
China’s coal output is expected to increase 36 million metric tons, or 0.8%, to about 4.7 billion tonnes in 2024, a Chinese coal industry gro ...
Monday, 18 March 24
THREE KEY TAKEAWAYS FROM OUR EUROPE GAS MARKETS SHORT-TERM OUTLOOK Q1 2024 - WOOD MACKENZIE
European gas prices are currently back to pre-crisis levels, but with a complex series of factors affecting future supply and demand, are they set ...
Wednesday, 06 March 24
INDONESIA AIMS TO FINISH MINING OUTPUT QUOTAS APPROVAL BY END-MARCH, OFFICIAL SAYS - REUTERS
Indonesia’s has approved the mining production quotarequests from more than 120mineral companies and aims to complete the approval process th ...
|
|
Showing 1 to 5 news of total 6846 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- PTC India Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Australian Coal Association
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
|
|
|
|