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Wednesday, 03 October 12
BARCLAYS'S PRICE FORECAST FOR NEWCASTLE COAL HAS BEEN WRITTEN DOWN
“ The main story in the global coal markets has been the growth in supply, with all of the major exporters adding volumes into a market which we forecast will grow by 10.5% y/y in 2012. The US has been the leader, with exports increasing by 58% (up by 9 Mt) in H1 12, effectively exporting some of the energy surplus it had built up owing to a rise in shale gas extraction,” according to Barclays's Coal and freight quarterly report, that released last week.
The strong supply side has stimulated demand, with European takes up by some 7 Mt in the first four months as both the UK and Spain saw coal plant aggressively pushing out gas plant from the merit-orders. 2012 looks like it will be a high point for coal imports as environmental legislation should bring back some gas demand in 2013 and 2014, said Barclays's commodities researchers Trevor Sikorski, Miswin Mahesh & Sijin Cheng , in their latest market research report.
The Barclays’s report further pin pointed that, in the Pacific Basin, demand growth focused on China, which saw imports rise by 29% y/y, despite both very healthy additions to domestic production and a marked slowing of growth rates. The result of such high imports against a relatively modest demand background was eventually heavy pressure on Chinese domestic prices, a big build in inventories, and periods where additional imports have been turned away on contract default.
Barclays further said in its analysis report, global steam coal markets have softened since the start of the year (by around 18%). However, Barclays noted that over the last few months European delivered coal has been broadly stable at around 90 $/t. At this level, prices are now hovering around the marginal costs of the highest-cost exporters (Russia and the US) in the Atlantic Basin, and there are reports (McCloskey) that a number of Indonesian producers are starting to curtail production. While this is likely to limit potential downside, the inventory builds and modest Pacific demand side suggest limited upside, barring a significant weather or supply-side event.
Barclays revised its price outlook for CIF ARA forecasts and FOB Richards Bay prices by 1-3%.
Barclays’s price forecast for Newcastle coal has also been written down the most to average 96 $/t in 2012 (down 8.5% from their previous forecast of 105 $/t) and 94 $/t in 2013 (down 13% from 108 $/t), reflecting the impact of a slowdown in Chinese growth and the China’s current healthy inventories of coal.
Last week an Indonesian securites, Bahana Securities forecasted 2013 coal prices at USD 85 / ton, around US$ 12.00 or 12.37 percent below its 2012 price forecasts. Bahana believes upside potential on coal price remains limited due to weak coal demand. Hence, Bahana maintains its 2012 average coal benchmark price at USD 97/ton, and forecasted prices for 2013 far lesser than 2012 price.
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Friday, 23 February 24
STRONG OUTLOOK FOR THE TANKER MARKET IN 2024 AND BEYOND - DNV
Several factors have aligned over the past two years to create a robust and profitable market for tanker owners, which is expected to drive newbuil ...
Friday, 23 February 24
AUSTRALIAN COAL FLOWS TO ASIA HOVER ABOVE LAST YEAR’S VOLUME TONNES - SIGNAL GROUP
In the final days of February, the dry bulk freight market appeared to maintain a relatively stable momentum, particularly evident in the large ves ...
Friday, 23 February 24
RUSSIAN COAL SHIPMENTS FALL 14% AS SANCTIONS BITE - BIMCO
During the first seven weeks of 2024, Russian coal shipments have fallen 14% y/y. Volumes have gradually declined since October 2023 when logistica ...
Thursday, 22 February 24
BIMCO PUBLISHES SHIP FINANCING FORMS TO ENSURE UNINTERRUPTED USE OF SHIPS
BIMCO has published two standard Quiet Enjoyment Letters (QELs), the first standard form QELs available to the industry, to offer a tool that can e ...
Monday, 19 February 24
METALS INVESTMENT: THE DARKEST HOUR IS JUST BEFORE THE DAWN - WOOD MACKENZIE
Things often seem at their worst just before they get better. In terms of meeting our net zero 2050 scenario, we’ve reached a watershed momen ...
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Showing 31 to 35 news of total 6871 |
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- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Australian Coal Association
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
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