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Wednesday, 13 June 12
LOW COAL PRICES COULD CHANGE SUPPLY SIDE DYNAMICS - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch Ratings believes that the weakness seen in thermal coal prices in recent months should reverse once demand from major importers recovers, although there is a risk low prices may persist into 2013, changing the industry's supply side dynamics.
The price of thermal coal (5,500 kcal coal at Newcastle Australia on a free-on-board basis) reached a two-year low of USD87 per metric ton in early June 2012, down from USD142/mt in January 2011. Major reasons for this decline include China's economic slowdown and high coal inventory levels, increased production and exports from Indonesia and Australia, and increased exports by US coal producers due to cheap natural gas displacing coal used in US power generation.
Fitch believes that prices can recover from current lows once demand from key importers - China and India - improves, and the supply side adjusts to reflect the price environment. India depends on coal as its major energy source and is increasingly relying on imported coal as it struggles to increase domestic production. Likewise in China, thermal coal fired power represents more than 70% of the country's energy needs; Fitch believes thermal coal demand from China will lift again post sufficient policy easing by the government, and continue rising over the medium-to-long term in line with the country's strong GDP growth outlook, albeit lower than previous years.
The weak pricing environment is exposing the business risks of high-cost coal producers, as coal prices fall near or below the marginal cost of production. Many Australian producers have high cash costs of production; such operators will be significantly affected if prices remain low for an extended period. At the same time, sustained low coal prices can shift buyers from low-rank coal to higher-grade coals and thus negatively affect both demand and realized prices for low-rank coal.
Fitch notes that many large coal producers have contracts in place with both volumes and prices fixed, typically for a period of one year; such contracts can account for a meaningful share of their total revenues - for example around 65% for Adaro Indonesia ('BB+'/Stable) and around 45% PT Indika Energy ('B+'/Positive). These operators would be insulated from a temporary weakening of coal prices to some extent. However, should low prices persist through 2012 and into 2013, it will negatively affect the prices they negotiate for 2013; such negotiations typically take place in Q4 and Q1 of each calendar year.
Should the current low price environment persist into 2013, Fitch expects high-cost producers in Australia and the US to undertake production cuts, and review expansion projects under consideration. Fitch also believes that production expansion plans by low-cost producing countries like Indonesia may be curtailed. Such actions would limit coal production levels (or growth) and help address oversupply.
In rating companies producing commodities, like coal, Fitch takes a through-the-cycle approach to its ratings; this factors in a reasonable level of rating headroom to accommodate weakening of coal prices. Cash cost of production and cash margins over an industry cycle are given a heavy emphasis and factored into the ratings. Hence, Fitch does not expect any immediate negative rating actions on its rated coal producers in the Asia-Pacific region.
Source: Fitch Ratings
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Wednesday, 12 June 24
CHINA ACCOUNTS FOR 16.3% OF AUSTRALIA'S COAL EXPORTS, FOLLOWED BY INDIA 14.4% - BANCHERO COSTA
Global coal trade has really picked up pace in recent months, and is now fully back to pre-Covid levels says Banchero Costa in its latest report.
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Wednesday, 12 June 24
LNG NEWBUILDING VALUES AT RECORD HIGH: 78 NEWBUILD ORDERS PLACED IN 2024, DOUBLING 2023 - VESON NAUTICAL
The number of LNG newbuilding orders have more than doubled from the same period last year where 34 orders were placed, compared to 78 in the first ...
Monday, 10 June 24
CHINA'S MAY COAL IMPORTS RISE 11% ON LOWER DOMESTIC OUTPUT - REUTERS
China’s imports of coal rose 11% in May from a year earlier, customs data and Reuters records showed on Friday, as lower domestic output this ...
Tuesday, 04 June 24
HOW DO WESTERN SANCTIONS ON RUSSIA IMPACT THE GLOBAL METALS, MINING AND COAL MARKETS - WOOD MACKENZIE
The geopolitical landscape for Russia, as a major supplier of various commodities, has undergone a dramatic transformation since the invasion of Uk ...
Friday, 22 March 24
CASE STUDY: DANGERS OF COAL CARGO - SKULD
Recently, a bulk cargo vessel carrying coal from South Africa to Singapore suffered a fatal accident, resulting in the deaths of three crew members ...
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Showing 21 to 25 news of total 6871 |
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- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- The University of Queensland
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- White Energy Company Limited
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
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