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Thursday, 19 April 12
HANDY - 'POSITIVE TREND', PANAMAX - 'A FIRMER TENDENCY', CAPESIZE - 'AGAIN NEGATIVE'


Handy
The positive trend from last week continued, with more cargoes entering the market. Skaw/Passero del fixed tick above USD 4000 for US Gulf direction, while US Gulf deliveries fetched USD 16600 for Continent redel. Fronthauls paid USD 14000 ex Continent, and USD 14800 from Canakkale. The Pacific market remained firm with more nickel ore cargoes seen before Indonesian ban. Indo-India was bit quite but rates around USD 12000 basis South China. Nickle rounds fixed at USD 17k basis aps Indonesia. RBCTIndia fixed in low 20s on voyage. Red Sea-India fertilizer cargoes fixed at high teens. Short period rates fixed at USD 12k.

Panamax
A firmer tendency in both hemispheres, mainly driven by increased activity from ECSA grains. Fresh coal requirements from USG and Indonesia are adding fuel to the optimism for both ballasters and prompt positions. North Atlantic is tight for tonnage where Charterers now pay 10-11k to cover short rounds and 19-20k for trips out. The Pacific market is also gaining strength, to hover around 10k for NOPAC and 14k for India to China. Ballasters targeting ECSA grains are able to achieve above 12k passing Singapore. A more active period market with short period levels done above 11k/day and one-year at mid/upper 10. The forward curve following the trend but with less pace.

Capesize
Sentiment is again negative as spot volumes not by far living up to hopes/ expectations. With plenty of coal stored in Continent ports, transatlantic trades are at a low and operators fall over each other at rock-bottom levels to keep their units within this geographical area. Consequent Colombian and US coal stems redirected to Asian destinations are not sufficient to maintain fronthaul levels, with a resultant marginal drop in the Tubarao/Qingdao trade to around USD 21 pmt. Far East volumes are similarly unimpressive, with WAust/China levels coming down again to around USD 7.75 pmt - equivalent to far below OPEX. Paper levels give little support for period fixing - and the majority of Capes done for 12 months recently seems to have been at discounted levels from distressed Far Eastern players.
Source: Fearnleys AS



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