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Friday, 14 October 11
CAPE DERIVATIVES MARKET HAS NOT REFLECTED OWNERS EXPECTATIONS' - FEARNBULK
 Handy
The Atlantic market continued its upward trend, with fresh cargo entering the market. Skaw Passero to US Gulf climbed US$ 1500 from last week to US$ 8000. US Gulf back to Continent fixing now around US$ 30k, up 1500 from previous week. Fronthauls hovering at US$ 25k p/d. We do expect a firm market the coming week. The Pacific market remains unclear and expected to soften a bit with tonnage building up. For Indo-India, large eco Supra can fetch close to US$ 15k for S. China position and PAC RV close to US$ 13k. The Indian iron ore market is very quiet as not many cargoes seen in the market however rates from WCI fixing around US$ 12k for WCI/China and 11k for ECI-China. RBCT-India round rates around US$ 13k. Red Sea fertilizers to India are fixed around mid-20s. Short period rates are around 15k for large Supras but seeing less takers.
Panamax
After a good last week, levels keep firming up for October loaders in Atlantic where rounds are in the 17´s for T/A and 27 for trip out. Climbing further in the Pacific basin where NOPAC buiz is done above 16k. Monsoon season is over, and India is coming back to the market. With only a few vessels in good position, rates above 20k have been reported on WC India/ China cargoes. More tonnage is appearing in the Pacific but with a healthy supplement of fresh coal cargoes, levels are expected to keep steady. In Pacific a fairly high amount of short period fixtures has been done above 14k, but most owners seek to charter out their vessel for 4/6 mos only.
Cape size
Last week fixing activity in the Pacific was active with one mayor in particular picking up many vessels despite the Chinese being on holiday. Rates pushed up from the mid US$ 10´s into the low US$ 11´s. As the market got going this week the rates continued with the entrance of other miners to the market pushing the rates further to a high of US$ 12.35. Being a premium to the front haul level, something had to happen, and as a result the front haul Brazil/China has risen from US$ 26 level to US$ 28.50, and looks to move even further. The Index has kept pace with the market and has risen over 14% for the week to 3486. On the period front it has been relatively quiet as the paper (derivatives) market has not reflected owners´ expectations.
Source: FearnBulk
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Wednesday, 02 September 20
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